Preseason Rankings
Tennessee
Southeastern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.0#20
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.3#308
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#26
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#11
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 2.0% 2.1% 0.4%
#1 Seed 8.1% 8.5% 1.0%
Top 2 Seed 16.6% 17.3% 3.0%
Top 4 Seed 32.2% 33.3% 9.6%
Top 6 Seed 46.3% 47.6% 19.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 76.9% 78.2% 51.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 72.4% 73.8% 47.7%
Average Seed 5.6 5.6 7.3
.500 or above 89.1% 90.2% 67.1%
.500 or above in Conference 82.2% 83.0% 65.8%
Conference Champion 20.8% 21.4% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.1% 2.8%
First Four3.0% 3.0% 3.6%
First Round75.4% 76.7% 49.6%
Second Round53.7% 54.9% 29.9%
Sweet Sixteen29.3% 30.1% 12.0%
Elite Eight14.9% 15.4% 4.7%
Final Four7.5% 7.8% 1.8%
Championship Game3.7% 3.9% 0.4%
National Champion1.8% 1.9% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Home) - 95.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 7
Quad 26 - 211 - 9
Quad 35 - 116 - 9
Quad 44 - 020 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 164   Charlotte W 74-57 95%    
  Nov 27, 2020 99   Virginia Commonwealth W 74-62 86%    
  Dec 02, 2020 1   Gonzaga L 72-77 32%    
  Dec 04, 2020 70   @ Notre Dame W 72-69 60%    
  Dec 12, 2020 55   Cincinnati W 71-64 75%    
  Dec 15, 2020 194   Appalachian St. W 77-58 95%    
  Dec 19, 2020 304   Tennessee Tech W 79-54 99%    
  Dec 22, 2020 307   South Carolina Upstate W 84-58 99%    
  Dec 30, 2020 66   @ Missouri W 67-65 59%    
  Jan 02, 2021 32   Alabama W 79-74 68%    
  Jan 06, 2021 46   Arkansas W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 09, 2021 78   @ Texas A&M W 66-62 63%    
  Jan 12, 2021 59   @ South Carolina W 74-72 56%    
  Jan 16, 2021 120   Vanderbilt W 77-63 88%    
  Jan 19, 2021 22   @ Florida L 65-68 41%    
  Jan 23, 2021 66   Missouri W 70-62 75%    
  Jan 26, 2021 72   Mississippi St. W 72-63 78%    
  Jan 30, 2021 4   Kansas W 68-67 50%    
  Feb 02, 2021 61   @ Mississippi W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 06, 2021 11   @ Kentucky L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 10, 2021 22   Florida W 68-65 61%    
  Feb 12, 2021 30   @ LSU L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 16, 2021 59   South Carolina W 77-69 74%    
  Feb 20, 2021 11   Kentucky W 70-68 55%    
  Feb 24, 2021 120   @ Vanderbilt W 74-66 75%    
  Feb 27, 2021 60   @ Auburn W 72-70 56%    
  Mar 03, 2021 94   Georgia W 77-66 82%    
Projected Record 18 - 9 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.5 4.5 5.9 4.9 2.8 0.9 20.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.2 4.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.1 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.5 3.7 0.8 0.1 10.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.7 3.7 1.0 0.1 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.8 1.3 0.1 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.3 1.7 0.1 6.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 5.0 8th
9th 0.3 1.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 0.7 0.0 3.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.9 4.9 6.5 8.6 10.7 11.7 12.3 11.5 10.5 8.0 5.2 2.8 0.9 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
17-1 99.5% 2.8    2.7 0.1
16-2 94.5% 4.9    4.1 0.8 0.0
15-3 73.5% 5.9    3.7 1.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 42.9% 4.5    1.9 1.8 0.7 0.1
13-5 13.4% 1.5    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.8% 20.8 13.6 5.3 1.6 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.9% 100.0% 56.2% 43.8% 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 2.8% 100.0% 50.9% 49.1% 1.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 5.2% 100.0% 41.2% 58.8% 1.8 2.4 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 8.0% 100.0% 33.1% 66.9% 2.5 1.9 2.7 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 10.5% 100.0% 28.4% 71.6% 3.6 0.9 2.0 2.7 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 11.5% 99.5% 20.6% 79.0% 5.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.6 2.1 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.4%
12-6 12.3% 98.6% 14.7% 83.9% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.4%
11-7 11.7% 93.2% 9.6% 83.6% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 2.0 2.1 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 92.5%
10-8 10.7% 78.1% 6.4% 71.7% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 76.6%
9-9 8.6% 54.2% 4.1% 50.1% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.9 52.3%
8-10 6.5% 24.8% 2.0% 22.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.9 23.2%
7-11 4.9% 7.8% 1.3% 6.5% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.5 6.5%
6-12 2.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9 0.4%
5-13 1.8% 0.2% 0.2% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 76.9% 16.3% 60.7% 5.6 8.1 8.5 7.6 8.0 7.3 6.8 7.5 6.6 5.5 4.4 3.7 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 23.1 72.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 1.1 94.4 5.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 1.1 88.3 11.7