Preseason Rankings
Arkansas
Southeastern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#46
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.8#48
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#42
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#65
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 3.5% 3.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 9.2% 9.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 16.8% 16.8% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.3% 48.4% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 45.2% 45.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 7.5 7.5 n/a
.500 or above 76.7% 76.7% 44.7%
.500 or above in Conference 57.5% 57.5% 21.1%
Conference Champion 6.4% 6.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 5.3% 26.3%
First Four3.9% 3.9% 0.0%
First Round46.3% 46.3% 0.0%
Second Round26.6% 26.6% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen11.1% 11.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight4.9% 4.9% 0.0%
Final Four2.1% 2.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 100.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 7
Quad 25 - 38 - 10
Quad 35 - 113 - 11
Quad 45 - 017 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 348   Mississippi Valley W 105-70 100.0%   
  Nov 28, 2020 95   North Texas W 74-67 75%    
  Dec 02, 2020 156   Texas Arlington W 81-68 87%    
  Dec 05, 2020 170   Lipscomb W 84-70 89%    
  Dec 08, 2020 98   @ Tulsa W 72-70 56%    
  Dec 12, 2020 285   Central Arkansas W 94-74 96%    
  Dec 20, 2020 178   Oral Roberts W 88-74 89%    
  Dec 22, 2020 173   Abilene Christian W 82-68 89%    
  Dec 30, 2020 60   @ Auburn L 77-79 43%    
  Jan 02, 2021 66   Missouri W 75-71 65%    
  Jan 06, 2021 20   @ Tennessee L 69-76 27%    
  Jan 09, 2021 94   Georgia W 82-75 73%    
  Jan 13, 2021 30   @ LSU L 79-84 33%    
  Jan 16, 2021 32   @ Alabama L 83-88 35%    
  Jan 20, 2021 60   Auburn W 80-76 63%    
  Jan 23, 2021 120   @ Vanderbilt W 79-75 63%    
  Jan 27, 2021 61   Mississippi W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 30, 2021 42   @ Oklahoma St. L 74-77 38%    
  Feb 02, 2021 72   Mississippi St. W 77-72 67%    
  Feb 06, 2021 78   Texas A&M W 73-67 69%    
  Feb 09, 2021 11   @ Kentucky L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 13, 2021 66   @ Missouri L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 16, 2021 22   Florida L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 20, 2021 78   @ Texas A&M L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 24, 2021 32   Alabama W 86-85 54%    
  Feb 27, 2021 30   LSU W 82-81 53%    
  Mar 02, 2021 59   @ South Carolina L 80-82 43%    
Projected Record 16 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 6.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 3.0 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 3.6 2.2 0.5 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.1 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.8 3.4 0.7 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.1 3.9 1.1 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 4.5 1.6 0.1 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 4.0 2.6 0.3 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.3 0.5 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.7 0.9 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.4 1.5 0.1 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.9 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.5 3.9 5.7 8.2 9.9 10.6 11.5 11.1 10.6 8.3 6.6 4.7 2.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.6% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 90.3% 1.3    1.1 0.3 0.0
15-3 65.2% 1.8    1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 36.9% 1.7    0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 11.7% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 3.6 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 28.2% 71.8% 1.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.5% 100.0% 31.2% 68.8% 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.5% 100.0% 34.3% 65.7% 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.7% 100.0% 26.1% 73.9% 3.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 4.7% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 4.4 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 6.6% 98.7% 15.4% 83.4% 5.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.5%
12-6 8.3% 95.8% 9.8% 85.9% 7.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 95.3%
11-7 10.6% 87.1% 6.8% 80.3% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.8 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.4 86.1%
10-8 11.1% 69.5% 4.0% 65.5% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.4 68.2%
9-9 11.5% 45.5% 1.9% 43.6% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.2 44.4%
8-10 10.6% 16.1% 1.2% 14.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 8.9 15.0%
7-11 9.9% 4.5% 1.2% 3.3% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.4 3.3%
6-12 8.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1 0.4%
5-13 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 0.0%
4-14 3.9% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 3.9
3-15 2.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.5
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 48.3% 5.7% 42.6% 7.5 1.4 2.1 2.6 3.2 3.8 3.8 4.6 5.8 6.5 5.9 4.9 3.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 51.7 45.2%