Preseason Rankings
TCU
Big 12
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.1#69
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.6#320
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#108
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#39
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.4% 4.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 9.5% 9.6% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.0% 26.1% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.3% 24.4% 3.9%
Average Seed 7.7 7.7 10.0
.500 or above 38.4% 38.6% 8.3%
.500 or above in Conference 23.9% 24.0% 5.7%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 24.6% 24.4% 60.4%
First Four3.3% 3.3% 1.1%
First Round24.4% 24.5% 2.9%
Second Round13.9% 14.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen5.6% 5.7% 0.0%
Elite Eight2.3% 2.3% 0.0%
Final Four1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Baptist (Home) - 99.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 11
Quad 23 - 37 - 14
Quad 33 - 19 - 15
Quad 43 - 013 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 339   Houston Baptist W 92-66 99%    
  Nov 28, 2020 98   Tulsa W 64-61 60%    
  Dec 03, 2020 283   Northwestern St. W 81-63 95%    
  Dec 06, 2020 29   Oklahoma L 68-69 47%    
  Dec 09, 2020 41   Providence W 68-67 50%    
  Dec 12, 2020 78   Texas A&M W 63-62 53%    
  Dec 16, 2020 42   @ Oklahoma St. L 65-70 32%    
  Dec 22, 2020 165   North Dakota St. W 72-60 84%    
  Dec 30, 2020 237   Texas Southern W 81-65 91%    
  Jan 02, 2021 89   @ Kansas St. L 63-64 46%    
  Jan 05, 2021 4   Kansas L 63-69 31%    
  Jan 09, 2021 2   Baylor L 62-69 27%    
  Jan 12, 2021 29   @ Oklahoma L 65-72 29%    
  Jan 16, 2021 7   @ West Virginia L 63-74 19%    
  Jan 20, 2021 14   Texas Tech L 64-68 38%    
  Jan 23, 2021 15   Texas L 62-66 38%    
  Jan 26, 2021 4   @ Kansas L 60-72 16%    
  Jan 30, 2021 66   @ Missouri L 63-66 38%    
  Feb 03, 2021 42   Oklahoma St. W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 06, 2021 2   @ Baylor L 59-72 14%    
  Feb 09, 2021 71   Iowa St. W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 13, 2021 15   @ Texas L 59-69 21%    
  Feb 17, 2021 14   @ Texas Tech L 61-71 20%    
  Feb 20, 2021 89   Kansas St. W 66-61 66%    
  Feb 22, 2021 7   West Virginia L 66-71 35%    
  Feb 27, 2021 71   @ Iowa St. L 69-72 41%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.8 2.0 0.4 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.2 5.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 14.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 5.4 5.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 16.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.8 6.3 4.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 17.9 9th
10th 1.0 3.0 4.7 4.6 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 16.8 10th
Total 1.0 3.2 5.8 8.7 11.3 12.1 12.1 11.7 10.2 8.1 5.8 4.1 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 86.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 83.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 54.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 20.6% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 1.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 18.0% 82.0% 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.4% 100.0% 14.9% 85.1% 2.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.8% 100.0% 20.7% 79.3% 2.9 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.5% 100.0% 11.8% 88.2% 3.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 2.9% 100.0% 10.8% 89.2% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 4.1% 98.7% 6.2% 92.5% 6.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.6%
10-8 5.8% 89.7% 6.3% 83.4% 7.8 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 89.0%
9-9 8.1% 70.7% 3.6% 67.1% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 69.6%
8-10 10.2% 34.4% 2.3% 32.1% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.7 32.9%
7-11 11.7% 10.9% 1.0% 9.9% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.5 10.0%
6-12 12.1% 2.2% 0.7% 1.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.8 1.5%
5-13 12.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.1 0.1%
4-14 11.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.3
3-15 8.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.7
2-16 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.8
1-17 3.2% 3.2
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 26.0% 2.2% 23.8% 7.7 0.4 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.5 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.2 2.4 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 74.0 24.3%