Preseason Rankings
Oklahoma
Big 12
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#29
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.3#82
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#38
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#28
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
#1 Seed 3.0% 3.2% 0.6%
Top 2 Seed 6.9% 7.4% 1.8%
Top 4 Seed 17.1% 18.2% 5.9%
Top 6 Seed 28.2% 29.8% 10.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 52.8% 55.0% 29.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 49.6% 51.8% 27.3%
Average Seed 6.4 6.3 7.5
.500 or above 64.3% 66.8% 37.5%
.500 or above in Conference 51.2% 52.7% 35.7%
Conference Champion 6.1% 6.4% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.7% 8.1% 15.7%
First Four4.7% 4.8% 3.5%
First Round50.6% 52.7% 28.0%
Second Round33.4% 35.0% 16.8%
Sweet Sixteen17.1% 18.0% 7.3%
Elite Eight8.0% 8.4% 3.0%
Final Four3.7% 3.9% 1.7%
Championship Game1.8% 1.9% 0.6%
National Champion0.8% 0.8% 0.4%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Home) - 91.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 9
Quad 24 - 29 - 12
Quad 33 - 012 - 12
Quad 43 - 015 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 153   Texas San Antonio W 89-75 91%    
  Nov 28, 2020 111   @ Central Florida W 75-70 68%    
  Dec 02, 2020 22   Florida W 71-70 55%    
  Dec 06, 2020 69   @ TCU W 69-68 53%    
  Dec 09, 2020 58   @ Xavier L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 12, 2020 318   Florida A&M W 86-61 99%    
  Dec 19, 2020 339   Houston Baptist W 103-73 99.6%   
  Dec 22, 2020 14   Texas Tech W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 02, 2021 7   West Virginia L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 06, 2021 2   @ Baylor L 67-76 22%    
  Jan 09, 2021 4   @ Kansas L 68-76 25%    
  Jan 12, 2021 69   TCU W 72-65 71%    
  Jan 16, 2021 42   @ Oklahoma St. L 73-75 45%    
  Jan 19, 2021 89   Kansas St. W 74-65 77%    
  Jan 23, 2021 4   Kansas L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 26, 2021 15   @ Texas L 67-73 32%    
  Jan 30, 2021 32   Alabama W 85-82 61%    
  Feb 01, 2021 14   @ Texas Tech L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 06, 2021 71   Iowa St. W 81-74 72%    
  Feb 10, 2021 2   Baylor L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 13, 2021 7   @ West Virginia L 72-79 29%    
  Feb 16, 2021 15   Texas W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 20, 2021 71   @ Iowa St. W 78-77 53%    
  Feb 23, 2021 89   @ Kansas St. W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 27, 2021 42   Oklahoma St. W 76-72 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 6.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 3.9 3.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 10.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.9 4.0 1.0 0.1 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.3 3.3 0.9 0.0 12.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.8 6.0 3.4 0.6 0.0 13.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.5 2.9 0.5 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.3 4.2 1.9 0.3 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.9 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.9 4.9 6.9 9.1 10.8 11.8 11.5 10.5 9.7 7.6 5.3 3.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 93.7% 0.8    0.7 0.1
15-3 79.6% 1.7    1.2 0.5 0.0
14-4 52.4% 1.8    0.8 0.8 0.2
13-5 19.2% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0
12-6 5.1% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.1% 6.1 3.5 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 92.5% 7.5% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.3% 100.0% 52.0% 48.0% 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.9% 100.0% 39.9% 60.1% 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.1% 100.0% 33.2% 66.8% 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.4% 100.0% 24.8% 75.2% 2.5 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 5.3% 100.0% 17.4% 82.6% 3.5 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 7.6% 100.0% 13.7% 86.2% 4.7 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 9.7% 98.3% 9.5% 88.8% 6.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.8 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.1%
10-8 10.5% 91.3% 4.6% 86.7% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.9 90.9%
9-9 11.5% 70.5% 3.9% 66.7% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.4 69.4%
8-10 11.8% 38.5% 2.0% 36.5% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.2 37.2%
7-11 10.8% 11.7% 1.2% 10.5% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.6 10.6%
6-12 9.1% 2.6% 1.0% 1.6% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.9 1.6%
5-13 6.9% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.8 0.0%
4-14 4.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 4.9 0.0%
3-15 2.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 52.8% 6.4% 46.4% 6.4 3.0 4.0 5.1 5.1 5.8 5.2 5.5 4.7 3.5 3.3 3.0 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 47.2 49.6%