Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#293
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.3#267
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#302
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#252
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.7% 31.8% 15.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.0 15.8
.500 or above 41.3% 79.8% 41.0%
.500 or above in Conference 13.2% 36.1% 13.1%
Conference Champion 0.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 1.4% 4.8%
First Four10.6% 9.3% 10.6%
First Round9.8% 27.5% 9.7%
Second Round0.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iowa (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 21 - 4
Quad 48 - 68 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 9   @ Iowa L 62-88 1%    
  Nov 26, 2020 262   Southern L 66-68 44%    
  Dec 03, 2020 148   @ Wofford L 62-73 15%    
  Dec 05, 2020 307   @ South Carolina Upstate L 70-72 43%    
  Dec 07, 2020 175   @ Coastal Carolina L 70-80 18%    
  Dec 11, 2020 120   @ Vanderbilt L 64-78 11%    
  Dec 15, 2020 280   Charleston Southern W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 04, 2021 309   N.C. A&T W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 09, 2021 318   Florida A&M W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 16, 2021 309   @ N.C. A&T L 72-74 44%    
  Jan 25, 2021 318   @ Florida A&M L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 30, 2021 309   @ N.C. A&T L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 02, 2021 326   @ Howard W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 08, 2021 318   Florida A&M W 72-66 69%    
  Feb 22, 2021 318   @ Florida A&M L 68-69 49%    
  Mar 04, 2021 309   N.C. A&T W 75-71 64%    
Projected Record 7 - 9 5 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 2.3 2.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.3 4.8 1.7 11.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 5.8 6.3 1.8 0.2 15.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 6.7 7.9 2.6 0.2 18.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 2.2 6.9 6.7 2.0 0.0 18.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.9 5.7 2.1 0.2 14.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.2 3.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.4 1.7 1.6 0.9 0.1 4.7 9th
10th 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.5 10th
Total 1.0 3.8 7.4 11.5 15.8 16.8 16.7 13.7 9.1 4.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-8 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 4.1% 48.7% 48.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 2.1
8-8 9.1% 33.9% 33.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 6.1
7-9 13.7% 24.9% 24.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 3.0 10.3
6-10 16.7% 18.1% 18.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.9 13.7
5-11 16.8% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 0.0 2.0 14.7
4-12 15.8% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 0.0 1.3 14.6
3-13 11.5% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.6 10.9
2-14 7.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 7.2
1-15 3.8% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.8
0-16 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
Total 100% 15.7% 15.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 13.0 84.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%