IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wagner
Northeast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.2	#313
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.8	#215
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.0	#286

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.2	#310

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.3%	15.8%	7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.0	15.6

.500 or above	35.2%	74.7%	34.4%
.500 or above in Conference	42.7%	73.6%	42.1%
Conference Champion	11.4%	29.5%	11.0%
Last Place in Conference	1.0%	0.0%	1.0%

First Four	4.2%	5.3%	4.1%
First Round	4.9%	12.4%	4.8%
Second Round	0.1%	0.9%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 1.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 4	8 - 8	9 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Dec 08, 2020	44	@ Seton Hall	L	63-86	2%
Dec 15, 2020	257	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	63-69	28%
Dec 16, 2020	257	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	63-69	28%
Dec 21, 2020	311	Sacred Heart	W	75-72	61%
Dec 22, 2020	311	Sacred Heart	W	75-72	60%
Jan 07, 2021	233	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	71-79	25%
Jan 14, 2021	260	LIU Brooklyn	L	77-78	48%
Jan 15, 2021	260	LIU Brooklyn	L	77-78	49%
Jan 21, 2021	294	@ Bryant	L	72-77	34%
Jan 22, 2021	294	@ Bryant	L	72-77	36%
Jan 30, 2021	290	Merrimack	W	64-63	54%
Jan 31, 2021	290	Merrimack	W	64-63	54%
Feb 04, 2021	310	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	72-75	40%
Feb 05, 2021	310	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	72-75	39%
Feb 11, 2021	233	Fairleigh Dickinson	L	74-76	45%
Feb 20, 2021	239	St. Francis (PA)	L	74-76	46%
Feb 21, 2021	239	St. Francis (PA)	L	74-76	45%
Feb 25, 2021	332	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	75-74	52%
Feb 26, 2021	332	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	75-74	52%
Projected Record						8 - 11	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.4	1.3	2.1	2.4	2.4	1.5	0.9	0.4	0.1		11.4	1st
2nd									0.1	0.7	2.6	3.5	3.1	1.7	0.6	0.2	0.0				12.5	2nd
3rd								0.1	0.8	3.7	4.4	2.3	0.8	0.2	0.0						12.3	3rd
4th							0.0	0.9	3.7	4.2	1.5	0.4	0.0								10.8	4th
5th						0.0	0.7	3.4	4.2	1.1	0.1	0.0									9.5	5th
6th					0.0	0.5	2.7	4.6	1.6	0.1	0.0										9.5	6th
7th				0.0	0.3	1.9	4.0	1.9	0.1	0.0											8.2	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	1.9	4.2	2.3	0.2													8.9	8th
9th		0.0	0.4	2.3	3.4	1.8	0.3	0.0													8.3	9th
10th	0.3	1.4	2.7	2.6	1.2	0.2	0.0														8.4	10th
11th	0.2																				0.2	11th

Total	0.4	1.4	3.1	5.3	6.9	8.7	10.0	11.1	10.4	9.7	9.0	7.6	6.0	4.3	3.0	1.7	0.9	0.4	0.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.4		0.3	0.0
16-2	96.4%	0.9		0.8	0.1
15-3	90.0%	1.5		1.3	0.2
14-4	78.3%	2.4		1.8	0.5	0.0
13-5	56.3%	2.4		1.7	0.7	0.0
12-6	34.1%	2.1		1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0
11-7	17.5%	1.3		0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0
10-8	4.0%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-9	0.1%	0.0						0.0

Total	11.4%	11.4		7.5	3.0	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		52.7%	52.7%		12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.4%		39.9%	39.9%		13.6														0.1	0.1	0.0		0.2
16-2	0.9%		46.2%	46.2%		14.5														0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.5
15-3	1.7%		30.0%	30.0%		14.8														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	1.2
14-4	3.0%		25.6%	25.6%		15.2														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.2	2.2
13-5	4.3%		23.3%	23.3%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.7	3.3
12-6	6.0%		15.7%	15.7%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.9	5.1
11-7	7.6%		12.9%	12.9%		16.0																0.0	0.9	6.6
10-8	9.0%		9.5%	9.5%		16.0																	0.9	8.1
9-9	9.7%		6.0%	6.0%		16.0																0.0	0.6	9.2
8-10	10.4%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																0.0	0.3	10.1
7-11	11.1%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.3	10.8
6-12	10.0%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																	0.2	9.8
5-13	8.7%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	8.6
4-14	6.9%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
3-15	5.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
2-16	3.1%																							3.1
1-17	1.4%																							1.4
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		7.3%	7.3%	0.0%	15.6												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	5.2	92.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.4%