IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Merrimack
Northeast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.3	#290
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	59.8	#339
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.8	#336

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.5	#157

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	49.0%	69.0%	41.3%
.500 or above in Conference	56.8%	69.0%	52.1%
Conference Champion	17.9%	25.2%	15.1%
Last Place in Conference	0.4%	0.1%	0.5%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Away) - 27.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 3
Quad 4	9 - 7	9 - 10

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Dec 03, 2020	222	@ Iona	L	61-67	28%
Dec 08, 2020	260	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	66-70	34%
Dec 09, 2020	260	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	66-70	35%
Dec 15, 2020	294	@ Bryant	L	64-67	40%
Jan 07, 2021	311	Sacred Heart	W	67-62	67%
Jan 08, 2021	311	Sacred Heart	W	67-62	67%
Jan 14, 2021	257	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	56-60	35%
Jan 15, 2021	257	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	56-60	35%
Jan 21, 2021	233	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	66-65	51%
Jan 22, 2021	233	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	66-65	51%
Jan 30, 2021	313	@ Wagner	L	63-64	46%
Jan 31, 2021	313	@ Wagner	L	63-64	46%
Feb 04, 2021	239	St. Francis (PA)	W	66-65	51%
Feb 05, 2021	239	St. Francis (PA)	W	66-65	51%
Feb 11, 2021	332	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	66-64	58%
Feb 12, 2021	332	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	66-64	57%
Feb 20, 2021	294	Bryant	W	67-64	60%
Feb 25, 2021	310	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	67-62	64%
Feb 26, 2021	310	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	67-62	65%
Projected Record						9 - 10	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.4	1.7	2.7	3.9	3.7	2.9	1.6	0.8	0.2		17.9	1st
2nd									0.0	0.7	3.5	4.7	3.9	2.6	1.3	0.4	0.1				17.2	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.9	4.1	5.1	2.8	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0					14.3	3rd
4th							0.0	0.7	3.9	4.5	1.7	0.4	0.1	0.0							11.2	4th
5th						0.0	0.4	2.7	4.3	1.4	0.2	0.0									9.1	5th
6th					0.0	0.2	2.2	4.0	1.5	0.0											7.9	6th
7th					0.1	1.5	3.2	1.7	0.1												6.6	7th
8th				0.1	1.4	2.8	1.8	0.2													6.3	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	1.0	2.2	1.5	0.2	0.0													5.2	9th
10th	0.1	0.5	1.2	1.5	0.8	0.1															4.2	10th
11th	0.1																				0.1	11th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.4	2.7	4.5	6.2	7.8	9.3	10.8	10.7	10.8	9.6	7.8	6.9	5.0	3.3	1.7	0.8	0.2			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.8		0.8	0.0
16-2	94.6%	1.6		1.5	0.1
15-3	88.1%	2.9		2.6	0.3	0.0
14-4	73.2%	3.7		2.8	0.9	0.0
13-5	57.1%	3.9		2.7	1.2	0.1
12-6	35.0%	2.7		1.5	1.0	0.2	0.0
11-7	17.3%	1.7		0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
10-8	3.6%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-9	0.3%	0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0

Total	17.9%	17.9		12.4	4.3	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%																							0.2
17-1	0.8%																							0.8
16-2	1.7%																							1.7
15-3	3.3%																							3.3
14-4	5.0%																							5.0
13-5	6.9%																							6.9
12-6	7.8%																							7.8
11-7	9.6%																							9.6
10-8	10.8%																							10.8
9-9	10.7%																							10.7
8-10	10.8%																							10.8
7-11	9.3%																							9.3
6-12	7.8%																							7.8
5-13	6.2%																							6.2
4-14	4.5%																							4.5
3-15	2.7%																							2.7
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.5%																							0.5
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%
Lose Out	0.1%