Preseason Rankings
Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#222
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.5#155
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#213
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#247
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.5% 12.0% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.5 14.9
.500 or above 45.7% 64.8% 35.8%
.500 or above in Conference 58.6% 71.1% 52.1%
Conference Champion 10.2% 15.0% 7.8%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 4.3% 10.5%
First Four1.6% 1.5% 1.7%
First Round7.6% 11.1% 5.8%
Second Round0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 34.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 33 - 73 - 8
Quad 410 - 613 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 201   @ Fordham L 63-67 34%    
  Nov 29, 2020 128   Massachusetts L 72-78 28%    
  Dec 01, 2020 116   Buffalo L 76-84 24%    
  Dec 02, 2020 96   Vermont L 65-75 19%    
  Dec 03, 2020 290   Merrimack W 67-61 72%    
  Dec 05, 2020 152   @ Hofstra L 70-78 25%    
  Dec 11, 2020 176   Monmouth L 77-78 50%    
  Dec 12, 2020 176   Monmouth L 77-78 49%    
  Dec 18, 2020 273   @ Rider L 75-76 48%    
  Dec 19, 2020 273   @ Rider L 75-76 48%    
  Jan 01, 2021 259   Niagara W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 02, 2021 259   Niagara W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 08, 2021 288   @ Quinnipiac W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 09, 2021 288   @ Quinnipiac W 74-73 50%    
  Jan 15, 2021 195   St. Peter's W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 16, 2021 195   St. Peter's W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 29, 2021 268   @ Fairfield L 63-64 48%    
  Jan 30, 2021 268   @ Fairfield L 63-64 47%    
  Feb 05, 2021 149   Siena L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 06, 2021 149   Siena L 71-73 45%    
  Feb 12, 2021 284   @ Marist L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 13, 2021 284   @ Marist L 66-67 50%    
  Feb 19, 2021 221   @ Canisius L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 20, 2021 221   @ Canisius L 73-76 40%    
  Mar 05, 2021 251   Manhattan W 69-65 64%    
  Mar 06, 2021 251   Manhattan W 69-65 65%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.3 2.4 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 10.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.4 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.2 3.9 2.0 0.5 0.1 10.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 3.9 4.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.9 4.0 1.3 0.1 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.3 3.8 1.1 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.5 3.4 1.1 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 2.8 3.4 1.0 0.1 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.7 2.6 1.0 0.1 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 1.4 2.2 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 5.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.7 3.0 4.4 5.9 7.1 9.0 9.0 10.3 10.3 9.5 8.3 6.8 5.4 3.6 2.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 95.5% 1.2    1.1 0.1
17-3 84.8% 2.1    1.6 0.4 0.0
16-4 68.1% 2.4    1.6 0.8 0.1
15-5 42.1% 2.3    1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 18.0% 1.2    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.2% 10.2 6.5 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 75.3% 73.0% 2.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.3%
19-1 0.6% 54.2% 49.4% 4.8% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.6%
18-2 1.3% 44.5% 43.2% 1.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.3%
17-3 2.4% 37.7% 37.7% 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5
16-4 3.6% 26.9% 26.9% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.6
15-5 5.4% 21.2% 21.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 4.2
14-6 6.8% 15.7% 15.7% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 5.7
13-7 8.3% 13.2% 13.2% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 7.2
12-8 9.5% 7.8% 7.8% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.5 8.7
11-9 10.3% 7.9% 7.9% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 9.5
10-10 10.3% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 9.9
9-11 9.0% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 8.8
8-12 9.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.9
7-13 7.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.0
6-14 5.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.8
5-15 4.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.4
4-16 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.5% 8.4% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 2.5 2.8 91.5 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%