Preseason Rankings
Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#128
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.6#152
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#109
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#171
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 9.0% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.2% 6.4% 1.5%
Average Seed 10.4 10.3 10.8
.500 or above 43.6% 56.2% 28.0%
.500 or above in Conference 25.1% 31.2% 17.7%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 8.9% 16.2%
First Four1.5% 2.2% 0.6%
First Round5.4% 7.7% 2.6%
Second Round1.9% 2.8% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Neutral) - 55.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 35 - 47 - 11
Quad 43 - 110 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 149   Siena W 74-73 55%    
  Nov 27, 2020 197   Delaware W 78-73 66%    
  Nov 29, 2020 222   Iona W 78-72 72%    
  Dec 01, 2020 97   South Florida L 67-70 38%    
  Dec 13, 2020 163   @ Northeastern L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 30, 2020 123   George Mason W 73-71 59%    
  Jan 02, 2021 52   @ Saint Louis L 67-78 18%    
  Jan 06, 2021 198   @ George Washington W 73-71 55%    
  Jan 17, 2021 201   @ Fordham W 66-64 57%    
  Jan 20, 2021 52   Saint Louis L 70-75 35%    
  Jan 24, 2021 81   Davidson L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 30, 2021 123   @ George Mason L 70-74 39%    
  Feb 03, 2021 201   Fordham W 69-61 75%    
  Feb 06, 2021 93   @ Rhode Island L 73-79 30%    
  Feb 09, 2021 47   Dayton L 72-77 35%    
  Feb 14, 2021 85   St. Bonaventure L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 20, 2021 90   @ Duquesne L 70-77 29%    
  Feb 24, 2021 174   @ Saint Joseph's W 80-79 50%    
  Feb 27, 2021 93   Rhode Island L 76-77 49%    
  Mar 03, 2021 53   Richmond L 73-78 35%    
Projected Record 9 - 11 7 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 2.8 1.2 0.1 5.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.6 1.8 0.1 6.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.8 3.1 0.3 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.8 4.2 0.8 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.4 1.7 0.1 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.9 10th
11th 0.2 1.9 5.2 3.5 0.5 0.0 11.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.6 3.7 0.9 0.0 11.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.9 3.0 0.7 0.1 9.8 13th
14th 0.5 1.6 2.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 6.6 14th
Total 0.5 1.9 4.5 7.6 10.3 12.6 13.0 13.1 11.4 9.4 6.6 4.7 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 98.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 56.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 30.2% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 25.9% 74.1% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 89.5% 25.2% 64.3% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 85.9%
13-5 1.3% 79.1% 20.0% 59.1% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 73.9%
12-6 2.6% 55.7% 13.1% 42.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.2 49.0%
11-7 4.7% 29.0% 9.4% 19.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 3.3 21.7%
10-8 6.6% 14.3% 5.3% 9.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.7 9.5%
9-9 9.4% 5.9% 3.5% 2.4% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.8 2.5%
8-10 11.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2 0.6%
7-11 13.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 0.1%
6-12 13.0% 0.2% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
5-13 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 12.6
4-14 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.3
3-15 7.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.6
2-16 4.5% 4.5
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 6.3% 2.2% 4.1% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 93.7 4.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%