Preseason Rankings
Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#197
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.8#178
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#148
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#261
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 13.8% 7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 13.9 14.7
.500 or above 50.4% 68.3% 41.2%
.500 or above in Conference 57.3% 68.6% 51.6%
Conference Champion 11.8% 17.2% 9.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 5.2% 11.9%
First Four1.2% 0.9% 1.4%
First Round9.1% 13.4% 6.9%
Second Round0.9% 1.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Neutral) - 33.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 34 - 74 - 9
Quad 48 - 412 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 128   Massachusetts L 73-78 34%    
  Nov 28, 2020 149   Siena L 72-75 38%    
  Dec 02, 2020 202   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70-73 40%    
  Dec 11, 2020 198   George Washington W 73-70 61%    
  Dec 21, 2020 213   @ Navy L 65-67 45%    
  Jan 02, 2021 162   College of Charleston W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 03, 2021 162   College of Charleston W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 09, 2021 254   @ William & Mary W 75-74 51%    
  Jan 10, 2021 254   @ William & Mary W 75-74 51%    
  Jan 16, 2021 152   Hofstra W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 17, 2021 152   Hofstra W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 23, 2021 253   @ UNC Wilmington W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 24, 2021 253   @ UNC Wilmington W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 30, 2021 215   Elon W 75-70 64%    
  Jan 31, 2021 215   Elon W 75-70 64%    
  Feb 06, 2021 163   @ Northeastern L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 07, 2021 163   @ Northeastern L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 11, 2021 190   @ Drexel L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 13, 2021 190   Drexel W 76-73 59%    
  Feb 20, 2021 249   James Madison W 83-77 69%    
  Feb 21, 2021 249   James Madison W 83-77 69%    
  Feb 27, 2021 184   @ Towson L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 28, 2021 184   @ Towson L 69-73 38%    
Projected Record 11 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.2 3.3 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.2 11.8 1st
2nd 0.3 1.8 4.0 3.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 11.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.2 4.4 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 11.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 4.9 2.9 0.7 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 4.9 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.3 2.2 4.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.1 6.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.6 4.2 6.3 7.9 9.3 10.2 10.4 10.8 9.7 8.5 6.7 5.2 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 96.2% 1.6    1.5 0.2
15-3 85.3% 2.8    2.2 0.6 0.0
14-4 63.2% 3.3    1.9 1.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 33.0% 2.2    0.8 0.9 0.4 0.0
12-6 9.2% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.8% 11.8 7.6 3.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 82.4% 69.0% 13.4% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.1%
17-1 0.8% 50.3% 45.1% 5.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 9.4%
16-2 1.7% 43.4% 42.8% 0.6% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.0%
15-3 3.3% 29.9% 29.9% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3
14-4 5.2% 28.4% 28.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 3.7 0.2%
13-5 6.7% 22.0% 22.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 5.3
12-6 8.5% 15.3% 15.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 7.2
11-7 9.7% 11.9% 11.9% 15.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 8.6
10-8 10.8% 7.8% 7.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 9.9
9-9 10.4% 5.8% 5.8% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 9.8
8-10 10.2% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.9
7-11 9.3% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.2
6-12 7.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.8
5-13 6.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.3
4-14 4.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.2
3-15 2.6% 2.6
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 9.7% 9.6% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.3 2.7 2.4 90.3 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 5.7 48.5 3.0 24.2 24.2
Lose Out 0.0%