Preseason Rankings
Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#190
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.8#214
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#167
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#233
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.6% 18.0% 9.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.5 14.7
.500 or above 55.4% 81.3% 52.8%
.500 or above in Conference 60.9% 77.1% 59.2%
Conference Champion 12.0% 23.0% 10.9%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 3.4% 8.8%
First Four1.7% 0.8% 1.8%
First Round9.8% 17.8% 9.0%
Second Round1.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Penn St. (Away) - 9.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 54 - 8
Quad 49 - 413 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 62   @ Penn St. L 69-83 9%    
  Nov 28, 2020 87   @ Pittsburgh L 63-74 15%    
  Dec 02, 2020 288   Quinnipiac W 76-71 68%    
  Dec 06, 2020 327   Coppin St. W 83-70 88%    
  Dec 16, 2020 174   Saint Joseph's W 79-77 56%    
  Jan 02, 2021 253   UNC Wilmington W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 03, 2021 253   UNC Wilmington W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 09, 2021 162   @ College of Charleston L 68-73 35%    
  Jan 10, 2021 162   @ College of Charleston L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 16, 2021 254   William & Mary W 77-70 72%    
  Jan 17, 2021 254   William & Mary W 77-70 72%    
  Jan 23, 2021 215   @ Elon L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 24, 2021 215   @ Elon L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 30, 2021 163   Northeastern W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 31, 2021 163   Northeastern W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 06, 2021 152   @ Hofstra L 71-77 32%    
  Feb 07, 2021 152   @ Hofstra L 71-77 32%    
  Feb 11, 2021 197   Delaware W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 13, 2021 197   @ Delaware L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 20, 2021 184   Towson W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 21, 2021 184   Towson W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 27, 2021 249   @ James Madison W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 28, 2021 249   @ James Madison W 79-78 51%    
Projected Record 12 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.2 3.0 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.3 12.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.0 3.8 2.0 0.6 0.1 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.1 5.1 3.6 1.2 0.1 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.1 3.5 0.7 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.2 2.2 5.3 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.3 2.0 4.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.2 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.6 0.1 5.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 3.7 5.4 7.5 8.7 10.0 10.9 11.0 11.1 9.2 7.2 5.0 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.3 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7
16-2 95.4% 1.8    1.6 0.2
15-3 84.3% 3.1    2.5 0.6 0.0
14-4 59.0% 3.0    1.8 1.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 30.9% 2.2    0.8 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0
12-6 9.6% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.0% 12.0 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 67.5% 56.7% 10.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 24.8%
17-1 0.7% 58.5% 53.5% 4.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 10.6%
16-2 1.9% 40.7% 40.6% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 0.1%
15-3 3.6% 37.3% 37.3% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.3 0.0%
14-4 5.0% 27.7% 27.7% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 3.6
13-5 7.2% 24.1% 24.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 5.5
12-6 9.2% 17.1% 17.1% 15.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 7.6
11-7 11.1% 10.4% 10.4% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 10.0
10-8 11.0% 7.3% 7.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.6 10.2
9-9 10.9% 5.8% 5.8% 15.9 0.1 0.6 10.3
8-10 10.0% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.7
7-11 8.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 8.5
6-12 7.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.4
5-13 5.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-14 3.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.7
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 10.6% 10.5% 0.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.3 2.8 3.2 89.4 0.1%