IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+6.4	#87
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.3	#305
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.3	#115

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.0	#68

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.6%	0.6%	0.1%
Top 4 Seed	2.1%	2.2%	0.4%
Top 6 Seed	4.9%	5.4%	0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid	18.6%	20.0%	5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	17.7%	19.1%	4.7%
Average Seed	8.3	8.3	9.5

.500 or above	31.8%	33.9%	10.8%
.500 or above in Conference	25.0%	26.2%	12.4%
Conference Champion	0.9%	0.9%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	18.1%	17.0%	29.4%

First Four	2.8%	3.0%	1.2%
First Round	17.2%	18.5%	4.2%
Second Round	8.8%	9.5%	1.9%
Sweet Sixteen	2.9%	3.1%	0.6%
Elite Eight	1.1%	1.2%	0.2%
Final Four	0.4%	0.5%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Home) - 90.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 9
Quad 2	3 - 4	6 - 13
Quad 3	3 - 1	8 - 14
Quad 4	3 - 0	11 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	239	St. Francis (PA)	W	78-64	91%
Nov 28, 2020	190	Drexel	W	74-63	85%
Dec 09, 2020	80	@ Northwestern	L	64-68	37%
Dec 12, 2020	247	Gardner-Webb	W	74-59	91%
Dec 16, 2020	43	@ Miami (FL)	L	66-73	26%
Dec 22, 2020	26	Louisville	L	66-70	37%
Dec 29, 2020	5	@ Duke	L	66-80	12%
Jan 02, 2021	70	Notre Dame	W	70-69	54%
Jan 09, 2021	16	Florida St.	L	67-72	34%
Jan 12, 2021	63	@ Georgia Tech	L	65-71	32%
Jan 16, 2021	35	Syracuse	L	68-70	44%
Jan 19, 2021	5	Duke	L	69-77	26%
Jan 23, 2021	101	@ Boston College	L	69-70	45%
Jan 26, 2021	23	North Carolina	L	70-74	37%
Feb 02, 2021	56	Virginia Tech	L	64-65	49%
Feb 07, 2021	103	@ Wake Forest	L	71-72	46%
Feb 09, 2021	26	@ Louisville	L	63-73	21%
Feb 13, 2021	35	@ Syracuse	L	65-73	25%
Feb 16, 2021	48	North Carolina St.	L	70-71	48%
Feb 21, 2021	49	Clemson	L	64-65	49%
Feb 24, 2021	6	@ Virginia	L	50-63	14%
Feb 28, 2021	48	@ North Carolina St.	L	67-74	29%
Mar 02, 2021	103	Wake Forest	W	74-69	65%
Mar 05, 2021	49	@ Clemson	L	62-68	29%
Projected Record						10 - 14	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.9	1st
2nd													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.3	0.1		0.0			1.6	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.3	0.0						2.2	3rd
4th												0.3	1.1	1.1	0.5	0.1							3.1	4th
5th										0.0	0.2	1.3	1.7	0.7	0.1	0.0							4.0	5th
6th										0.1	1.3	2.3	1.2	0.1	0.0								4.9	6th
7th								0.0	0.1	1.1	2.9	1.5	0.2	0.0									5.7	7th
8th								0.1	0.7	3.2	2.3	0.5	0.0	0.0									6.7	8th
9th							0.0	0.5	2.7	3.3	0.9	0.0											7.5	9th
10th						0.0	0.4	2.3	4.1	1.5	0.1	0.0											8.5	10th
11th					0.0	0.3	2.0	4.2	2.0	0.2	0.0												8.8	11th
12th				0.0	0.4	2.2	4.6	2.8	0.6	0.0													10.7	12th
13th			0.0	0.5	2.5	4.7	3.2	0.7	0.0														11.6	13th
14th		0.1	0.8	3.0	4.6	2.8	0.7	0.1															12.1	14th
15th	0.6	2.0	3.4	3.6	1.7	0.4	0.0																11.7	15th

Total	0.6	2.1	4.3	7.2	9.1	10.5	11.0	10.7	10.2	9.5	7.6	5.8	4.5	3.0	2.0	1.1	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	50.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	68.4%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	47.8%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1
15-5	18.5%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	3.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.6%	0.0				0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.0%							0.0	0.0
18-2	0.1%		100.0%	25.0%	75.0%	1.8		0.1	0.1	0.0																100.0%
17-3	0.2%		100.0%	16.4%	83.6%	2.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0													100.0%
16-4	0.6%		100.0%	12.8%	87.2%	3.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-5	1.1%		100.0%	9.8%	90.2%	4.5		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
14-6	2.0%		99.1%	9.1%	90.0%	5.9		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.0%
13-7	3.0%		95.9%	4.7%	91.3%	7.2			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		95.7%
12-8	4.5%		89.2%	3.0%	86.2%	8.4				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.9	0.8	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.5		88.9%
11-9	5.8%		68.2%	1.7%	66.4%	9.8					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0			1.9		67.6%
10-10	7.6%		34.5%	1.0%	33.6%	11.0						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.8	0.3	0.0			5.0		33.9%
9-11	9.5%		10.2%	0.8%	9.4%	11.6							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0			8.5		9.5%
8-12	10.2%		0.9%	0.2%	0.6%	11.9										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		10.1		0.6%
7-13	10.7%		0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	12.6													0.0		0.0	0.0		10.6		0.1%
6-14	11.0%		0.0%	0.0%		15.5																0.0	0.0	11.0
5-15	10.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.5
4-16	9.1%																							9.1
3-17	7.2%																							7.2
2-18	4.3%																							4.3
1-19	2.1%																							2.1
0-20	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		18.6%	1.0%	17.6%	8.3		0.2	0.4	0.7	0.9	1.3	1.5	2.0	2.4	2.3	2.1	2.2	2.0	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0	81.4		17.7%