Preseason Rankings
Gardner-Webb
Big South
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.4#247
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.8#283
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#244
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#263
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 16.8% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.1 15.1
.500 or above 41.7% 82.6% 41.3%
.500 or above in Conference 38.9% 68.6% 38.6%
Conference Champion 1.3% 6.2% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 0.5% 4.4%
First Four2.2% 1.0% 2.2%
First Round6.6% 16.7% 6.5%
Second Round0.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 49 - 510 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 5   @ Duke L 62-87 1%    
  Nov 27, 2020 16   @ Florida St. L 60-83 2%    
  Nov 29, 2020 94   @ Georgia L 66-80 10%    
  Dec 04, 2020 258   Campbell W 69-66 62%    
  Dec 05, 2020 258   Campbell W 69-66 63%    
  Dec 12, 2020 87   @ Pittsburgh L 59-74 9%    
  Dec 18, 2020 276   VMI W 73-69 64%    
  Dec 30, 2020 321   @ Hampton W 77-75 58%    
  Dec 31, 2020 321   @ Hampton W 77-75 58%    
  Jan 04, 2021 280   Charleston Southern W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 05, 2021 280   Charleston Southern W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 14, 2021 270   @ Radford L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 15, 2021 270   @ Radford L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 19, 2021 226   UNC Asheville W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 20, 2021 226   UNC Asheville W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 24, 2021 307   @ South Carolina Upstate W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 25, 2021 307   @ South Carolina Upstate W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 04, 2021 124   @ Winthrop L 70-81 19%    
  Feb 05, 2021 124   @ Winthrop L 70-81 18%    
  Feb 11, 2021 314   High Point W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 12, 2021 314   High Point W 72-65 73%    
Projected Record 9 - 12 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 1.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.8 0.5 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.4 2.4 0.5 0.1 9.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.6 2.6 0.7 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 3.4 5.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.1 5.6 2.9 0.4 0.0 14.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.9 5.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 13.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.9 4.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 3.2 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.1 6.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.7 4.4 6.8 9.1 10.8 12.7 12.6 12.0 10.1 7.6 5.1 2.7 1.2 0.2 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 90.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 48.0% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.0
14-6 14.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.2% 48.7% 48.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 1.2% 49.8% 49.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-6 2.7% 33.2% 33.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.8
13-7 5.1% 23.1% 23.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 3.9
12-8 7.6% 17.0% 17.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 6.3
11-9 10.1% 12.7% 12.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 8.8
10-10 12.0% 7.0% 7.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 11.2
9-11 12.6% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 11.9
8-12 12.7% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.2
7-13 10.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 10.6
6-14 9.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.0
5-15 6.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.8
4-16 4.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.4
3-17 2.7% 2.7
2-18 1.3% 1.3
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.1 3.7 92.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%