IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Hampton
Big South
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.7	#321
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.3	#53
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.4	#243

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-8.4	#341

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.1%	4.1%	1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.7	15.8

.500 or above	21.1%	44.2%	17.4%
.500 or above in Conference	30.4%	47.2%	27.6%
Conference Champion	1.4%	3.3%	1.1%
Last Place in Conference	11.4%	4.6%	12.4%

First Four	1.4%	2.2%	1.3%
First Round	1.3%	2.7%	1.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 14.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 6
Quad 4	9 - 11	10 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Dec 01, 2020	198	@ George Washington	L	70-81	14%
Dec 03, 2020	254	@ William & Mary	L	74-82	24%
Dec 07, 2020	244	@ Norfolk St.	L	70-79	22%
Dec 13, 2020	276	@ VMI	L	75-82	26%
Dec 15, 2020	254	William & Mary	L	77-79	43%
Dec 18, 2020	326	@ Howard	L	82-84	44%
Dec 21, 2020	280	@ Charleston Southern	L	73-80	27%
Dec 22, 2020	280	@ Charleston Southern	L	73-80	28%
Dec 30, 2020	247	Gardner-Webb	L	75-77	42%
Dec 31, 2020	247	Gardner-Webb	L	75-77	42%
Jan 04, 2021	270	@ Radford	L	70-77	26%
Jan 05, 2021	270	@ Radford	L	70-77	27%
Jan 09, 2021	226	UNC Asheville	L	81-85	38%
Jan 10, 2021	226	UNC Asheville	L	81-85	38%
Jan 14, 2021	307	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	78-83	33%
Jan 15, 2021	307	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	78-83	33%
Jan 19, 2021	258	Campbell	L	74-76	44%
Jan 20, 2021	258	Campbell	L	74-76	44%
Jan 24, 2021	124	@ Winthrop	L	76-92	9%
Jan 25, 2021	124	@ Winthrop	L	76-92	9%
Jan 29, 2021	314	High Point	W	76-74	56%
Jan 30, 2021	314	High Point	W	76-74	57%
Feb 04, 2021	320	@ Longwood	L	74-77	39%
Feb 05, 2021	320	@ Longwood	L	74-77	40%
Feb 11, 2021	341	Presbyterian	W	81-73	75%
Feb 12, 2021	341	Presbyterian	W	81-73	75%
Projected Record						10 - 16	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.5	1.2	1.4	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0				4.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.3	2.2	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.0						6.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	2.2	3.1	2.0	0.6	0.0								8.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	2.7	4.0	2.2	0.5	0.0	0.0								10.1	5th
6th							0.1	0.8	3.4	4.4	1.9	0.5	0.0										11.0	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.1	3.8	5.1	2.3	0.3	0.0											12.7	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	1.7	4.3	4.9	2.0	0.3	0.0												13.4	8th
9th			0.1	0.4	2.1	4.6	4.2	1.7	0.2	0.0													13.3	9th
10th		0.1	0.7	2.7	3.6	2.8	1.0	0.2															11.1	10th
11th	0.3	1.1	1.9	2.1	1.2	0.2	0.0																6.9	11th

Total	0.3	1.2	2.7	5.2	7.1	9.5	10.7	11.5	11.3	10.1	8.7	7.4	5.3	3.7	2.7	1.4	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	97.3%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	70.0%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
16-4	42.3%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-5	25.3%	0.3		0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-6	9.1%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1
13-7	2.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.2%	0.0				0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.4%	1.4		0.7	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																							0.0
19-1	0.0%		48.6%	48.6%		13.5														0.0	0.0			0.0
18-2	0.1%		41.6%	41.6%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
17-3	0.4%		28.6%	28.6%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
16-4	0.8%		18.9%	18.9%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7
15-5	1.4%		12.7%	12.7%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	1.2
14-6	2.7%		10.2%	10.2%		15.9																0.0	0.2	2.4
13-7	3.7%		8.1%	8.1%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.3	3.4
12-8	5.3%		7.0%	7.0%		16.0																0.0	0.4	4.9
11-9	7.4%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																0.0	0.3	7.1
10-10	8.7%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.2	8.5
9-11	10.1%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	10.0
8-12	11.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.2
7-13	11.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
6-14	10.7%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.7
5-15	9.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
4-16	7.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.1
3-17	5.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
2-18	2.7%																							2.7
1-19	1.2%																							1.2
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		2.1%	2.1%	0.0%	15.8														0.0	0.1	0.2	1.8	97.9		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%