Preseason Rankings
Presbyterian
Big South
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.8#341
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.0#254
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#333
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-8.3#339
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.9% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 3.5% 12.2% 2.4%
.500 or above in Conference 1.9% 5.5% 1.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 59.6% 44.1% 61.5%
First Four0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 10.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 30 - 40 - 5
Quad 44 - 114 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 06, 2020 148   Wofford L 62-76 11%    
  Dec 13, 2020 103   @ Wake Forest L 63-86 2%    
  Dec 22, 2020 317   @ The Citadel L 76-84 23%    
  Dec 30, 2020 270   Radford L 64-70 28%    
  Dec 31, 2020 270   Radford L 64-70 29%    
  Jan 04, 2021 226   @ UNC Asheville L 68-83 10%    
  Jan 05, 2021 226   @ UNC Asheville L 68-83 11%    
  Jan 09, 2021 307   South Carolina Upstate L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 10, 2021 307   South Carolina Upstate L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 14, 2021 258   @ Campbell L 62-75 14%    
  Jan 15, 2021 258   @ Campbell L 62-75 14%    
  Jan 19, 2021 124   Winthrop L 69-84 10%    
  Jan 20, 2021 124   Winthrop L 69-84 10%    
  Jan 24, 2021 314   @ High Point L 64-73 22%    
  Jan 25, 2021 314   @ High Point L 64-73 22%    
  Feb 11, 2021 321   @ Hampton L 73-81 25%    
  Feb 12, 2021 321   @ Hampton L 73-81 25%    
  Feb 18, 2021 280   Charleston Southern L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 19, 2021 280   Charleston Southern L 67-73 31%    
Projected Record 4 - 15 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.1 2.2 0.6 0.1 7.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 2.8 4.6 3.1 0.9 0.1 12.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.1 3.5 6.5 6.9 4.0 1.0 0.1 23.4 10th
11th 7.8 13.5 13.0 8.6 3.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 47.2 11th
Total 8.0 14.6 16.7 16.1 13.2 10.9 8.1 5.7 3.2 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 20.0% 0.0    0.0
13-7 7.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.1% 21.6% 21.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.2% 7.6% 7.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-9 0.5% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5
10-10 1.1% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 1.0
9-11 1.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 1.7
8-12 3.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.1
7-13 5.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.6
6-14 8.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.1
5-15 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.9
4-16 13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-17 16.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.1
2-18 16.7% 16.7
1-19 14.6% 14.6
0-20 8.0% 8.0
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.1%