IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Radford
Big South
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.3	#270
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	61.3	#332
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#255

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.4	#275

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.9%	14.2%	7.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.6	15.5

.500 or above	47.2%	79.9%	45.9%
.500 or above in Conference	64.4%	83.8%	63.7%
Conference Champion	8.6%	21.5%	8.1%
Last Place in Conference	3.0%	0.6%	3.1%

First Four	3.2%	1.8%	3.2%
First Round	6.3%	13.0%	6.1%
Second Round	0.2%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Away) - 3.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 4	11 - 7	13 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	56	@ Virginia Tech	L	55-74	4%
Nov 28, 2020	244	Norfolk St.	L	65-66	46%
Nov 29, 2020	249	@ James Madison	L	72-76	36%
Dec 05, 2020	151	@ East Carolina	L	65-75	18%
Dec 14, 2020	320	Longwood	W	69-62	74%
Dec 15, 2020	320	Longwood	W	69-62	74%
Dec 19, 2020	120	@ Vanderbilt	L	63-76	14%
Dec 30, 2020	341	@ Presbyterian	W	70-64	72%
Dec 31, 2020	341	@ Presbyterian	W	70-64	71%
Jan 04, 2021	321	Hampton	W	77-70	74%
Jan 05, 2021	321	Hampton	W	77-70	73%
Jan 09, 2021	280	@ Charleston Southern	L	65-68	41%
Jan 10, 2021	280	@ Charleston Southern	L	65-68	42%
Jan 14, 2021	247	Gardner-Webb	W	68-66	57%
Jan 15, 2021	247	Gardner-Webb	W	68-66	57%
Jan 24, 2021	226	@ UNC Asheville	L	70-75	33%
Jan 25, 2021	226	@ UNC Asheville	L	70-75	34%
Jan 29, 2021	307	South Carolina Upstate	W	73-68	67%
Jan 30, 2021	307	South Carolina Upstate	W	73-68	67%
Feb 04, 2021	258	@ Campbell	L	64-67	39%
Feb 05, 2021	258	@ Campbell	L	64-67	39%
Feb 11, 2021	124	Winthrop	L	70-76	32%
Feb 12, 2021	124	Winthrop	L	70-76	32%
Feb 18, 2021	314	@ High Point	W	67-66	52%
Feb 19, 2021	314	@ High Point	W	67-66	51%
Projected Record						12 - 13	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.7	1.5	1.9	2.0	1.5	0.6	0.1		8.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.1	3.0	4.1	4.0	1.9	0.7	0.1				15.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.2	4.2	4.4	2.8	0.9	0.2	0.0					15.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	2.5	4.9	3.9	2.0	0.4	0.0							14.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	2.7	4.6	3.2	0.8	0.1									12.0	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	2.5	4.2	2.6	0.6	0.0										10.4	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	0.5	2.5	3.4	1.6	0.3	0.0											8.3	7th
8th					0.1	0.5	1.8	2.8	1.5	0.3	0.0												6.8	8th
9th			0.0	0.0	0.5	1.5	1.8	0.9	0.2	0.0													4.9	9th
10th			0.1	0.5	1.0	1.0	0.5	0.1															3.3	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0																1.6	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.9	3.3	4.7	6.7	8.1	9.2	10.3	11.1	10.0	9.6	8.0	6.3	4.0	2.7	1.7	0.6	0.1			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.6		0.6	0.0
18-2	91.3%	1.5		1.2	0.3
17-3	75.2%	2.0		1.4	0.6	0.0
16-4	48.1%	1.9		1.1	0.7	0.1	0.0
15-5	23.4%	1.5		0.6	0.7	0.1	0.0
14-6	9.4%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0
13-7	1.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	8.6%	8.6		5.3	2.7	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		71.4%	71.4%		13.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
19-1	0.6%		45.8%	45.8%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.3
18-2	1.7%		42.1%	42.1%		14.5														0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	1.0
17-3	2.7%		30.8%	30.8%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.1	1.9
16-4	4.0%		24.6%	24.6%		15.2														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	3.0
15-5	6.3%		18.7%	18.7%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	5.2
14-6	8.0%		13.2%	13.2%		15.8															0.0	0.2	0.8	6.9
13-7	9.6%		10.6%	10.6%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.9	8.6
12-8	10.0%		7.3%	7.3%		16.0																0.0	0.7	9.3
11-9	11.1%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																0.0	0.4	10.7
10-10	10.3%		3.0%	3.0%		16.0																	0.3	10.0
9-11	9.2%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	9.1
8-12	8.1%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	8.0
7-13	6.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	6.7
6-14	4.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	4.6
5-15	3.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
4-16	1.9%																							1.9
3-17	1.1%																							1.1
2-18	0.6%																							0.6
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		7.9%	7.9%	0.0%	15.4												0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.9	4.8	92.1		0.0%