IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Longwood
Big South
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.6	#320
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.9	#209
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.4	#332

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.2	#270

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.8%	5.3%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.4	15.6

.500 or above	21.6%	49.8%	20.2%
.500 or above in Conference	11.4%	24.4%	10.8%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.7%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	19.3%	9.3%	19.8%

First Four	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%
First Round	1.3%	4.4%	1.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 4.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	1 - 6
Quad 4	7 - 8	8 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 27, 2020	103	@ Wake Forest	L	64-82	5%
Dec 06, 2020	309	N.C. A&T	W	74-73	54%
Dec 14, 2020	270	@ Radford	L	62-69	26%
Dec 15, 2020	270	@ Radford	L	62-69	26%
Dec 19, 2020	317	The Citadel	W	80-77	60%
Dec 21, 2020	56	@ Virginia Tech	L	54-77	2%
Dec 30, 2020	226	UNC Asheville	L	73-76	39%
Dec 31, 2020	226	UNC Asheville	L	73-76	39%
Jan 04, 2021	307	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	69-74	34%
Jan 05, 2021	307	@ South Carolina Upstate	L	69-74	33%
Jan 09, 2021	258	Campbell	L	66-68	44%
Jan 10, 2021	258	Campbell	L	66-68	44%
Jan 14, 2021	124	@ Winthrop	L	67-83	9%
Jan 15, 2021	124	@ Winthrop	L	67-83	9%
Jan 19, 2021	314	High Point	W	68-66	57%
Jan 20, 2021	314	High Point	W	68-66	57%
Feb 04, 2021	321	Hampton	W	77-74	61%
Feb 05, 2021	321	Hampton	W	77-74	60%
Feb 11, 2021	280	@ Charleston Southern	L	65-72	29%
Feb 12, 2021	280	@ Charleston Southern	L	65-72	28%
Projected Record						7 - 13	6 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0						0.2	1st
2nd												0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0							1.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	0.9	0.8	0.3	0.1								2.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	1.4	1.4	0.6	0.0									3.7	4th
5th								0.1	0.6	2.1	2.3	0.8	0.1										5.9	5th
6th							0.1	0.8	2.8	3.4	1.1	0.1	0.0										8.3	6th
7th						0.1	1.3	4.1	4.3	1.5	0.1												11.5	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	2.1	4.7	5.3	1.7	0.2													14.3	8th
9th		0.0	0.2	1.2	3.6	6.4	5.3	1.8	0.2														18.8	9th
10th	0.2	1.0	3.2	5.7	6.5	4.2	1.4	0.2	0.0														22.3	10th
11th	0.9	2.2	3.4	2.9	1.7	0.4	0.1	0.0															11.6	11th

Total	1.1	3.3	6.7	9.8	12.1	13.2	12.9	12.3	9.6	7.6	5.1	3.3	1.9	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0							Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-5	85.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0
14-6	29.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.9%	0.0			0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	0.0%																							0.0
15-5	0.1%		39.2%	39.2%		13.9													0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0
14-6	0.3%		34.4%	34.4%		14.5														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2
13-7	0.8%		22.0%	22.0%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.6
12-8	1.9%		12.1%	12.1%		15.3															0.0	0.1	0.1	1.6
11-9	3.3%		10.3%	10.3%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.2	3.0
10-10	5.1%		5.1%	5.1%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.2	4.9
9-11	7.6%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.2	7.4
8-12	9.6%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																0.0	0.2	9.4
7-13	12.3%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.2	12.2
6-14	12.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	12.8
5-15	13.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	13.1
4-16	12.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
3-17	9.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
2-18	6.7%																							6.7
1-19	3.3%																							3.3
0-20	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		1.8%	1.8%	0.0%	15.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	98.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.5%