Preseason Rankings
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#163
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace64.6#288
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#170
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#180
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.3% 20.1% 12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Average Seed 14.0 13.7 14.4
.500 or above 69.8% 83.6% 61.1%
.500 or above in Conference 72.9% 81.5% 67.5%
Conference Champion 19.2% 25.5% 15.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 2.4% 5.8%
First Four1.4% 1.2% 1.5%
First Round14.7% 19.6% 11.7%
Second Round1.6% 2.6% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Neutral) - 38.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 55 - 8
Quad 411 - 315 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 123   George Mason L 67-70 39%    
  Nov 27, 2020 326   Howard W 81-69 85%    
  Nov 28, 2020 114   Belmont L 71-75 35%    
  Dec 05, 2020 328   @ Maine W 70-61 79%    
  Dec 09, 2020 279   Umass Lowell W 80-71 80%    
  Dec 13, 2020 128   Massachusetts W 72-71 51%    
  Dec 22, 2020 94   @ Georgia L 68-77 21%    
  Jan 02, 2021 215   Elon W 72-65 71%    
  Jan 03, 2021 215   Elon W 72-65 72%    
  Jan 07, 2021 152   @ Hofstra L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 09, 2021 152   Hofstra W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 16, 2021 162   @ College of Charleston L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 17, 2021 162   @ College of Charleston L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 23, 2021 249   James Madison W 80-72 75%    
  Jan 24, 2021 249   James Madison W 80-72 75%    
  Jan 30, 2021 190   @ Drexel L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 31, 2021 190   @ Drexel L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 06, 2021 197   Delaware W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 07, 2021 197   Delaware W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 13, 2021 184   @ Towson L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 14, 2021 184   @ Towson L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 20, 2021 253   UNC Wilmington W 74-66 76%    
  Feb 21, 2021 253   UNC Wilmington W 74-66 76%    
  Feb 27, 2021 254   @ William & Mary W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 28, 2021 254   @ William & Mary W 72-70 57%    
Projected Record 14 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 3.3 4.6 4.6 3.5 1.5 0.4 19.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.8 5.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.4 5.5 4.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 5.5 3.7 0.8 0.1 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 4.0 2.8 0.4 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.1 2.2 0.3 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.5 5.0 6.5 8.3 10.0 11.7 12.0 11.1 9.9 7.3 5.4 3.7 1.5 0.4 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 100.0% 1.5    1.5 0.0
16-2 96.3% 3.5    3.2 0.3
15-3 86.0% 4.6    3.6 1.0 0.0
14-4 63.6% 4.6    2.7 1.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 33.9% 3.3    1.2 1.5 0.6 0.0 0.0
12-6 9.7% 1.1    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.2% 19.2 12.8 5.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 80.6% 63.8% 16.9% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 46.5%
17-1 1.5% 62.7% 57.4% 5.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 12.6%
16-2 3.7% 47.7% 46.7% 1.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.9 2.0%
15-3 5.4% 37.5% 37.4% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.4 0.3%
14-4 7.3% 30.9% 30.9% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 5.0
13-5 9.9% 23.9% 23.9% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.2 7.5
12-6 11.1% 17.4% 17.4% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 9.2
11-7 12.0% 13.9% 13.9% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 10.3
10-8 11.7% 9.2% 9.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 10.7
9-9 10.0% 6.0% 6.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.4
8-10 8.3% 3.3% 3.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.1
7-11 6.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.4
6-12 5.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.9
5-13 3.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.5
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 1.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-16 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 15.3% 15.1% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.0 4.1 3.5 2.8 84.7 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 6.9 3.3 6.7 63.3 26.7