Preseason Rankings
Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#251
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.8#301
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#317
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#163
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 8.1% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 44.1% 58.1% 29.9%
.500 or above in Conference 47.3% 56.2% 38.2%
Conference Champion 5.8% 8.1% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 12.1% 8.3% 15.9%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
First Round5.4% 7.5% 3.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Home) - 50.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 32 - 52 - 6
Quad 49 - 611 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 03, 2020 201   Fordham W 59-58 50%    
  Dec 11, 2020 273   Rider W 71-67 64%    
  Dec 12, 2020 273   Rider W 71-67 64%    
  Dec 18, 2020 288   @ Quinnipiac L 67-68 45%    
  Dec 19, 2020 288   @ Quinnipiac L 67-68 45%    
  Jan 08, 2021 284   Marist W 63-59 65%    
  Jan 09, 2021 284   Marist W 63-59 65%    
  Jan 15, 2021 221   @ Canisius L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 16, 2021 221   @ Canisius L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 22, 2021 176   Monmouth L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 23, 2021 176   Monmouth L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 29, 2021 195   @ St. Peter's L 60-66 30%    
  Jan 30, 2021 195   @ St. Peter's L 60-66 29%    
  Feb 05, 2021 268   Fairfield W 60-56 63%    
  Feb 06, 2021 268   Fairfield W 60-56 62%    
  Feb 12, 2021 149   @ Siena L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 13, 2021 149   @ Siena L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 19, 2021 259   Niagara W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 20, 2021 259   Niagara W 67-64 62%    
  Mar 05, 2021 222   @ Iona L 65-69 36%    
  Mar 06, 2021 222   @ Iona L 65-69 35%    
Projected Record 10 - 11 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.8 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.4 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.4 3.6 1.3 0.2 9.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 4.1 3.6 1.1 0.1 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.8 3.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.1 4.0 1.0 0.1 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.8 1.1 0.1 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.4 3.4 1.2 0.1 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 3.1 2.1 0.9 0.1 8.8 10th
11th 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.2 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 8.1 11th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.8 4.6 6.0 7.1 9.4 10.4 10.3 10.2 9.2 8.4 6.9 4.8 3.5 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 94.6% 0.5    0.4 0.0
17-3 90.7% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
16-4 68.7% 1.5    0.9 0.6 0.0
15-5 37.7% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-6 16.9% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 3.4 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 93.3% 93.3% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 54.8% 54.3% 0.5% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.1%
18-2 0.5% 56.4% 56.2% 0.2% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.5%
17-3 1.4% 42.8% 42.2% 0.6% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.0%
16-4 2.2% 25.4% 25.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6
15-5 3.5% 23.1% 23.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 2.7
14-6 4.8% 17.0% 17.0% 15.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 4.0
13-7 6.9% 13.4% 13.4% 15.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 6.0
12-8 8.4% 7.3% 7.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 7.7
11-9 9.2% 5.4% 5.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.7
10-10 10.2% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.9
9-11 10.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.1
8-12 10.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.3
7-13 9.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.4
6-14 7.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.1
5-15 6.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.0
4-16 4.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.5
3-17 2.8% 2.8
2-18 1.4% 1.4
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 2.1 94.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 7.0 29.6 7.4 29.6 29.6 3.7
Lose Out 0.1%