IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.9	#284
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.6	#321
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.2	#323

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.7	#193

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	4.9%	2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.9	15.5

.500 or above	37.5%	51.7%	24.9%
.500 or above in Conference	36.0%	45.4%	27.8%
Conference Champion	3.6%	5.3%	2.0%
Last Place in Conference	19.6%	13.6%	24.8%

First Four	1.2%	1.1%	1.2%
First Round	3.1%	4.4%	1.9%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Neutral) - 46.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 7
Quad 4	9 - 7	11 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 28, 2020	264	Albany	L	65-66	47%
Dec 05, 2020	329	@ Binghamton	W	68-66	58%
Dec 06, 2020	329	Binghamton	W	71-63	77%
Dec 11, 2020	221	@ Canisius	L	65-71	30%
Dec 12, 2020	221	@ Canisius	L	65-71	30%
Jan 01, 2021	288	Quinnipiac	W	68-65	61%
Jan 02, 2021	288	Quinnipiac	W	68-65	61%
Jan 08, 2021	251	@ Manhattan	L	59-63	35%
Jan 09, 2021	251	@ Manhattan	L	59-63	35%
Jan 15, 2021	268	Fairfield	W	59-57	58%
Jan 16, 2021	268	Fairfield	W	59-57	58%
Jan 22, 2021	259	Niagara	W	66-64	56%
Jan 23, 2021	259	Niagara	W	66-64	56%
Jan 29, 2021	273	@ Rider	L	66-70	39%
Jan 30, 2021	273	@ Rider	L	66-70	38%
Feb 05, 2021	176	@ Monmouth	L	65-74	23%
Feb 06, 2021	176	@ Monmouth	L	65-74	23%
Feb 12, 2021	222	Iona	W	67-66	51%
Feb 13, 2021	222	Iona	W	67-66	50%
Feb 19, 2021	195	@ St. Peter's	L	59-67	26%
Feb 20, 2021	195	@ St. Peter's	L	59-67	26%
Mar 05, 2021	149	Siena	L	63-68	35%
Mar 06, 2021	149	Siena	L	63-68	35%
Projected Record						10 - 13	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	0.8	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		3.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.4	1.2	1.5	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0				5.0	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.8	2.4	2.1	1.0	0.1	0.0						6.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.9	3.0	2.7	0.8	0.1								7.5	4th
5th									0.1	1.0	3.8	2.8	0.9	0.1									8.6	5th
6th								0.1	1.2	3.5	3.7	1.0	0.1										9.6	6th
7th							0.1	1.3	4.2	3.8	1.1	0.0	0.0										10.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.4	4.3	3.9	1.1	0.1												10.9	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	2.1	4.1	3.9	1.3	0.1	0.0												11.9	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	1.1	2.8	4.0	3.2	0.9	0.1														12.4	10th
11th	0.3	1.2	2.3	3.6	3.3	2.2	0.6	0.1															13.6	11th

Total	0.3	1.2	2.6	4.8	6.5	8.4	9.4	10.5	10.7	9.5	9.7	7.7	6.5	4.4	3.1	2.3	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
18-2	97.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
17-3	89.4%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
16-4	59.6%	0.8		0.5	0.2	0.0
15-5	42.9%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-6	16.5%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	4.8%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-8	0.4%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.6%	3.6		2.1	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		75.0%	72.2%	2.8%	8.2						0.0		0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		10.0%
19-1	0.1%		42.1%	41.2%	0.9%	12.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		1.5%
18-2	0.3%		19.2%	19.2%		13.4													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2
17-3	0.7%		39.7%	39.7%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.4
16-4	1.3%		24.3%	24.3%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.0
15-5	2.3%		17.6%	17.6%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	1.9
14-6	3.1%		11.8%	11.8%		14.9														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.7
13-7	4.4%		12.6%	12.6%		15.4															0.1	0.2	0.3	3.8
12-8	6.5%		7.5%	7.5%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.4	6.0
11-9	7.7%		5.3%	5.3%		15.8																0.1	0.3	7.3
10-10	9.7%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																0.0	0.3	9.4
9-11	9.5%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	9.3
8-12	10.7%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	10.6
7-13	10.5%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	10.4
6-14	9.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
5-15	8.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.4
4-16	6.5%																							6.5
3-17	4.8%																							4.8
2-18	2.6%																							2.6
1-19	1.2%																							1.2
0-20	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	15.1						0.0		0.0				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	0.9	1.8	96.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	7.7					33.3		33.3				33.3
Lose Out	0.1%