Preseason Rankings
Albany
America East
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#264
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.3#165
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#291
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#228
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% 6.5% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.4
.500 or above 48.1% 60.7% 33.9%
.500 or above in Conference 51.6% 59.3% 42.9%
Conference Champion 4.1% 5.6% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 8.6% 5.7% 12.0%
First Four1.4% 1.3% 1.4%
First Round4.5% 5.9% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marist (Neutral) - 53.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 31 - 5
Quad 49 - 610 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 28, 2020 284   Marist W 66-65 53%    
  Dec 19, 2020 202   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 20, 2020 202   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 23, 2020 294   Bryant W 76-72 66%    
  Jan 02, 2021 96   @ Vermont L 61-76 10%    
  Jan 03, 2021 96   @ Vermont L 61-76 10%    
  Jan 09, 2021 224   Stony Brook W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 10, 2021 224   Stony Brook W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 16, 2021 217   NJIT W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 17, 2021 217   NJIT W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 23, 2021 205   @ New Hampshire L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 24, 2021 205   @ New Hampshire L 67-73 31%    
  Jan 30, 2021 279   Umass Lowell W 78-74 61%    
  Jan 31, 2021 279   Umass Lowell W 78-74 62%    
  Feb 06, 2021 328   @ Maine W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 07, 2021 328   @ Maine W 68-65 60%    
  Feb 18, 2021 329   Binghamton W 77-68 77%    
  Feb 19, 2021 329   Binghamton W 77-68 77%    
  Feb 27, 2021 267   @ Hartford L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 28, 2021 267   @ Hartford L 68-71 40%    
Projected Record 10 - 10 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.0 3.4 1.3 0.2 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.1 5.6 3.0 0.7 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.9 5.9 2.4 0.3 0.0 14.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.7 5.7 1.6 0.1 14.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.0 5.7 5.1 1.1 0.1 14.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.4 3.8 0.8 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.5 3.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 9.0 8th
9th 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.7 0.6 0.1 5.2 9th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.4 6.5 9.5 11.5 12.9 12.5 12.1 10.2 7.6 5.2 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 85.1% 0.9    0.7 0.2
13-3 49.2% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1
12-4 21.1% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 4.4% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 77.1% 77.1% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 48.9% 48.9% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.0% 37.9% 37.9% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-3 2.5% 22.9% 22.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.0
12-4 5.2% 17.0% 17.0% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 4.3
11-5 7.6% 13.1% 13.1% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 6.6
10-6 10.2% 7.0% 7.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 9.4
9-7 12.1% 5.5% 5.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 11.4
8-8 12.5% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 12.2
7-9 12.9% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 12.6
6-10 11.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 11.3
5-11 9.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.5
4-12 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.5
3-13 4.4% 4.4
2-14 2.4% 2.4
1-15 0.9% 0.9
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.3 94.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 8.9 36.0 32.0 32.0
Lose Out 0.1%