Preseason Rankings
NJIT
Atlantic Sun
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#217
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.5#245
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#271
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#189
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 8.4% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 15.3
.500 or above 59.2% 72.4% 40.5%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four1.3% 1.3% 1.4%
First Round6.0% 7.7% 3.6%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Home) - 58.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 32 - 5
Quad 49 - 511 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 12, 2020 205   New Hampshire W 69-67 59%    
  Dec 13, 2020 205   New Hampshire W 69-67 59%    
  Dec 23, 2020 273   @ Rider L 72-73 48%    
  Dec 27, 2020 96   @ Vermont L 61-73 14%    
  Dec 28, 2020 96   @ Vermont L 61-73 14%    
  Jan 02, 2021 279   @ Umass Lowell L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 03, 2021 279   @ Umass Lowell L 74-75 50%    
  Jan 09, 2021 328   Maine W 70-59 83%    
  Jan 10, 2021 328   Maine W 70-59 83%    
  Jan 16, 2021 264   @ Albany L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 17, 2021 264   @ Albany L 68-69 47%    
  Jan 23, 2021 224   Stony Brook W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 24, 2021 224   Stony Brook W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 30, 2021 267   @ Hartford L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 31, 2021 267   @ Hartford L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 18, 2021 202   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 19, 2021 202   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-67 56%    
  Feb 27, 2021 329   @ Binghamton W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 28, 2021 329   @ Binghamton W 73-68 67%    
Projected Record 10 - 9 0 - 0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 13.1 13.1 9th
10th 86.9 86.9 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16 100.0% 6.7% 6.6% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.1 93.3 0.1%
Total 100% 6.7% 6.6% 0.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.1 93.3 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 98.9% 11.4 18.2 21.6 59.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 75.0% 12.0 75.0
Lose Out 0.1%