IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Hartford
America East
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.2	#267
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.6	#184
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.7	#301

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.5	#218

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.8%	11.3%	4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	14.4	15.2

.500 or above	42.2%	75.4%	41.2%
.500 or above in Conference	48.0%	74.8%	47.2%
Conference Champion	4.0%	10.6%	3.8%
Last Place in Conference	8.7%	1.6%	8.9%

First Four	1.4%	1.5%	1.4%
First Round	4.1%	10.7%	3.9%
Second Round	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 2.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	2 - 5	2 - 7
Quad 4	9 - 5	10 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 27, 2020	34	@ Connecticut	L	61-82	3%
Dec 02, 2020	268	@ Fairfield	L	60-63	39%
Dec 04, 2020	332	Central Connecticut St.	W	77-67	81%
Dec 19, 2020	328	Maine	W	70-61	78%
Dec 20, 2020	328	Maine	W	70-61	78%
Dec 27, 2020	205	@ New Hampshire	L	66-72	30%
Dec 28, 2020	205	@ New Hampshire	L	66-72	30%
Jan 02, 2021	329	Binghamton	W	76-67	78%
Jan 03, 2021	329	Binghamton	W	76-67	78%
Jan 09, 2021	279	@ Umass Lowell	L	74-77	41%
Jan 10, 2021	279	@ Umass Lowell	L	74-77	41%
Jan 16, 2021	202	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	65-72	29%
Jan 17, 2021	202	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	65-72	29%
Jan 23, 2021	96	Vermont	L	63-72	23%
Jan 24, 2021	96	Vermont	L	63-72	24%
Jan 30, 2021	217	NJIT	W	68-67	52%
Jan 31, 2021	217	NJIT	W	68-67	52%
Feb 18, 2021	224	@ Stony Brook	L	66-71	34%
Feb 19, 2021	224	@ Stony Brook	L	66-71	33%
Feb 27, 2021	264	Albany	W	71-68	59%
Feb 28, 2021	264	Albany	W	71-68	60%
Projected Record						10 - 11	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.3	1.1	1.2	0.9	0.4	0.1		4.0	1st
2nd									0.0	0.4	2.1	3.4	2.4	0.9	0.2				9.5	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.9	3.7	4.7	2.7	0.6	0.0					12.6	3rd
4th							0.0	1.3	4.8	5.6	2.3	0.3							14.3	4th
5th						0.1	1.7	6.3	5.7	1.8	0.1	0.0							15.6	5th
6th					0.2	2.3	6.1	5.4	1.3	0.1									15.5	6th
7th			0.0	0.3	2.5	5.7	4.4	0.9	0.0										13.8	7th
8th		0.0	0.6	2.3	4.2	2.3	0.3	0.0											9.8	8th
9th	0.2	0.7	1.5	1.5	0.8	0.1	0.0												4.9	9th

Total	0.2	0.8	2.1	4.2	7.8	10.6	12.6	13.9	12.7	11.5	9.3	6.7	4.1	2.1	1.1	0.4	0.1			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
15-1	100.0%	0.4		0.3	0.0
14-2	81.7%	0.9		0.7	0.3	0.0
13-3	57.3%	1.2		0.6	0.5	0.1
12-4	26.6%	1.1		0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0
11-5	4.7%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		2.1	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.1%		60.3%	60.3%		11.0									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0
15-1	0.4%		28.4%	28.4%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
14-2	1.1%		29.7%	29.7%		13.5													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.8
13-3	2.1%		22.1%	22.1%		14.2													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	1.6
12-4	4.1%		17.7%	17.7%		14.9														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	3.4
11-5	6.7%		12.9%	12.9%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	5.9
10-6	9.3%		7.6%	7.6%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.5	8.6
9-7	11.5%		5.1%	5.1%		15.8																0.1	0.4	10.9
8-8	12.7%		3.7%	3.7%		16.0																0.0	0.5	12.2
7-9	13.9%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																0.0	0.3	13.6
6-10	12.6%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	12.4
5-11	10.6%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	10.5
4-12	7.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	7.7
3-13	4.2%																							4.2
2-14	2.1%																							2.1
1-15	0.8%																							0.8
0-16	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		4.8%	4.8%	0.0%	15.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.4	2.3	95.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%