IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.4	#272
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.2	#108
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.9	#283

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.5	#246

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	5.2%	2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.0	15.5

.500 or above	28.0%	42.6%	18.6%
.500 or above in Conference	27.4%	36.4%	21.6%
Conference Champion	2.7%	4.3%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	20.2%	13.7%	24.4%

First Four	1.4%	1.5%	1.3%
First Round	3.1%	4.6%	2.2%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota St. (Home) - 39.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 9
Quad 4	8 - 7	10 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 27, 2020	165	North Dakota St.	L	69-72	39%
Nov 29, 2020	229	Southern Miss	W	71-70	53%
Nov 29, 2020	130	Ball St.	L	66-74	22%
Dec 08, 2020	89	@ Kansas St.	L	61-77	8%
Dec 12, 2020	238	@ Western Michigan	L	69-74	33%
Dec 19, 2020	240	@ Green Bay	L	80-85	34%
Dec 20, 2020	240	@ Green Bay	L	80-85	34%
Dec 26, 2020	216	Illinois-Chicago	W	72-71	52%
Dec 27, 2020	216	Illinois-Chicago	W	72-71	52%
Jan 01, 2021	212	@ Robert Morris	L	66-72	30%
Jan 02, 2021	212	@ Robert Morris	L	66-72	30%
Jan 08, 2021	245	Detroit Mercy	W	78-76	55%
Jan 09, 2021	245	Detroit Mercy	W	78-76	55%
Jan 15, 2021	227	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	72-71	53%
Jan 16, 2021	227	Purdue Fort Wayne	W	72-71	53%
Jan 22, 2021	242	@ Cleveland St.	L	69-73	36%
Jan 23, 2021	242	@ Cleveland St.	L	69-73	36%
Jan 29, 2021	295	@ IUPUI	L	77-79	44%
Jan 30, 2021	295	@ IUPUI	L	77-79	44%
Feb 05, 2021	167	Northern Kentucky	L	68-71	40%
Feb 06, 2021	167	Northern Kentucky	L	68-71	41%
Feb 12, 2021	121	@ Wright St.	L	70-83	15%
Feb 13, 2021	121	@ Wright St.	L	70-83	16%
Feb 19, 2021	243	Oakland	W	71-69	56%
Feb 20, 2021	243	Oakland	W	71-69	56%
Projected Record						10 - 15	7 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.5	0.3	0.0				2.7	1st
2nd									0.0	0.2	1.1	2.2	1.9	0.7	0.2	0.0					6.4	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.2	1.9	3.7	1.9	0.5	0.0							8.3	3rd
4th								0.2	2.4	4.2	2.3	0.4	0.0								9.6	4th
5th							0.3	2.3	5.1	2.7	0.3	0.0									10.6	5th
6th						0.2	2.3	5.7	3.1	0.3											11.6	6th
7th				0.0	0.3	2.3	5.9	3.5	0.4	0.0											12.4	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	2.6	5.2	3.8	0.6	0.0												12.5	8th
9th		0.0	0.9	2.9	5.1	3.2	0.6	0.0													12.7	9th
10th	0.7	2.3	3.8	3.9	2.2	0.3	0.0														13.2	10th

Total	0.7	2.3	4.7	7.1	10.3	11.2	12.8	12.2	11.3	9.3	7.5	4.8	3.2	1.6	0.7	0.3	0.0					Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	95.1%	0.3		0.2	0.1
14-4	69.3%	0.5		0.4	0.1
13-5	51.5%	0.8		0.5	0.3	0.0
12-6	21.1%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	6.3%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-8	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-9	0.1%	0.0						0.0

Total	2.7%	2.7		1.3	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%		73.0%	51.4%	21.6%	8.8								0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0			0.0		44.4%
15-3	0.3%		44.2%	43.8%	0.4%	13.1											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1		0.7%
14-4	0.7%		28.5%	28.3%	0.1%	14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5		0.2%
13-5	1.6%		20.7%	20.7%		14.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	1.2
12-6	3.2%		16.5%	16.5%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.7
11-7	4.8%		10.8%	10.8%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	4.3
10-8	7.5%		7.5%	7.5%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.4	6.9
9-9	9.3%		4.6%	4.6%		15.8																0.1	0.4	8.9
8-10	11.3%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																0.0	0.4	10.8
7-11	12.2%		3.1%	3.1%		15.9																0.0	0.4	11.9
6-12	12.8%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	12.6
5-13	11.2%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	11.1
4-14	10.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.2
3-15	7.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.1
2-16	4.7%																							4.7
1-17	2.3%																							2.3
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	15.3								0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.9	2.1	96.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%