IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wyoming
Mountain West
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.6	#169
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.6	#260
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.5	#211

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.0	#140

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.4%	2.4%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.5	12.5	n/a

.500 or above	46.0%	46.4%	14.7%
.500 or above in Conference	32.2%	32.5%	10.4%
Conference Champion	1.4%	1.4%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	11.5%	11.3%	25.2%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
First Round	2.3%	2.3%	0.0%
Second Round	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 98.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 7
Quad 3	4 - 6	6 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 2	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 28, 2020	348	Mississippi Valley	W	91-67	99%
Nov 30, 2020	237	Texas Southern	W	79-72	74%
Dec 01, 2020	336	Incarnate Word	W	76-59	94%
Dec 05, 2020	115	@ Oregon St.	L	64-71	26%
Dec 09, 2020	305	Denver	W	77-66	83%
Dec 12, 2020	291	@ Utah Valley	W	72-68	63%
Dec 17, 2020	196	Nebraska Omaha	W	74-69	66%
Dec 20, 2020	102	UNLV	L	68-70	42%
Dec 22, 2020	102	UNLV	L	68-70	42%
Jan 01, 2021	150	@ Fresno St.	L	63-67	35%
Jan 03, 2021	150	@ Fresno St.	L	63-67	35%
Jan 11, 2021	86	Boise St.	L	69-73	37%
Jan 13, 2021	86	Boise St.	L	69-73	37%
Jan 16, 2021	225	@ Air Force	W	72-71	52%
Jan 18, 2021	225	@ Air Force	W	72-71	52%
Jan 22, 2021	104	Nevada	L	72-74	43%
Jan 24, 2021	104	Nevada	L	72-74	42%
Jan 28, 2021	36	@ San Diego St.	L	58-73	11%
Jan 30, 2021	36	@ San Diego St.	L	58-73	11%
Feb 04, 2021	112	Colorado St.	L	72-74	45%
Feb 06, 2021	112	Colorado St.	L	72-74	44%
Feb 11, 2021	75	@ Utah St.	L	62-73	17%
Feb 13, 2021	75	@ Utah St.	L	62-73	18%
Feb 17, 2021	180	@ New Mexico	L	72-75	42%
Feb 19, 2021	180	@ New Mexico	L	72-75	42%
Feb 25, 2021	282	San Jose St.	W	80-71	77%
Feb 27, 2021	282	San Jose St.	W	80-71	77%
Projected Record						13 - 14	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0			1.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.7	1.3	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0				3.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	1.1	1.9	1.2	0.4	0.0						5.1	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.7	2.0	2.8	1.4	0.3	0.0	0.0						7.3	4th
5th									0.1	1.1	3.2	3.3	1.5	0.2	0.0								9.4	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.7	4.0	3.7	1.3	0.1	0.0									11.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.5	4.6	4.2	1.4	0.1	0.0										13.1	7th
8th					0.1	0.8	3.1	5.7	3.6	1.1	0.1	0.0											14.6	8th
9th				0.3	1.6	3.9	4.9	3.1	0.8	0.1	0.0												14.7	9th
10th		0.0	0.7	2.2	4.0	3.5	1.6	0.4	0.0														12.5	10th
11th	0.2	0.9	2.1	2.0	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0															7.2	11th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.8	4.5	7.1	8.8	10.1	12.0	10.8	10.5	9.1	7.1	5.7	4.3	3.0	1.6	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0				Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	92.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	75.8%	0.3		0.2	0.1
16-4	44.9%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0
15-5	18.8%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	6.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.8%	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.4%	1.4		0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%		96.7%	33.3%	63.3%	5.3		0.0		0.0		0.0		0.0		0.0		0.0						0.0		95.0%
18-2	0.1%		72.4%	36.2%	36.2%	8.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		56.8%
17-3	0.4%		45.4%	19.6%	25.8%	10.3						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.2		32.1%
16-4	0.9%		35.8%	18.9%	16.9%	11.5									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1				0.6		20.8%
15-5	1.6%		18.9%	13.6%	5.2%	11.9										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0			1.3		6.1%
14-6	3.0%		12.2%	10.5%	1.8%	12.5												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1			2.6		2.0%
13-7	4.3%		6.5%	6.3%	0.2%	13.1											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		4.0		0.2%
12-8	5.7%		4.5%	4.4%	0.0%	13.2													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		5.5		0.0%
11-9	7.1%		3.0%	3.0%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	6.9
10-10	9.1%		1.5%	1.5%		14.8														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	8.9
9-11	10.5%		1.2%	1.2%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.4
8-12	10.8%		0.3%	0.3%		15.3																0.0	0.0	10.8
7-13	12.0%		0.4%	0.4%		15.6																0.0	0.0	11.9
6-14	10.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
5-15	8.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.8
4-16	7.1%																							7.1
3-17	4.5%																							4.5
2-18	2.8%																							2.8
1-19	0.9%																							0.9
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		2.4%	1.9%	0.5%	12.5		0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	97.6		0.5%