IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Denver
Summit League
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.4	#305
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.1	#56
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.1	#290

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.3	#297

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.0%	2.8%	1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.1	15.7

.500 or above	18.6%	34.1%	13.4%
.500 or above in Conference	25.0%	36.0%	21.3%
Conference Champion	1.2%	2.1%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	1.5%	0.6%	1.8%

First Four	1.0%	1.2%	0.9%
First Round	1.5%	2.3%	1.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Air Force (Away) - 25.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 9
Quad 4	7 - 7	9 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Dec 02, 2020	225	@ Air Force	L	74-81	25%
Dec 06, 2020	208	UC Riverside	L	66-68	43%
Dec 09, 2020	169	@ Wyoming	L	66-77	17%
Dec 12, 2020	337	Dixie St.	W	70-61	80%
Dec 16, 2020	166	Northern Colorado	L	68-73	33%
Dec 19, 2020	143	Texas St.	L	67-74	28%
Dec 22, 2020	266	Northern Arizona	W	74-73	53%
Dec 29, 2020	177	@ Grand Canyon	L	71-81	18%
Jan 02, 2021	206	@ South Dakota	L	74-82	24%
Jan 03, 2021	206	@ South Dakota	L	74-82	24%
Jan 15, 2021	178	Oral Roberts	L	78-82	36%
Jan 16, 2021	178	Oral Roberts	L	78-82	36%
Jan 22, 2021	165	@ North Dakota St.	L	67-78	18%
Jan 23, 2021	165	@ North Dakota St.	L	67-78	19%
Jan 29, 2021	100	South Dakota St.	L	73-83	20%
Jan 30, 2021	100	South Dakota St.	L	73-83	20%
Feb 05, 2021	248	North Dakota	W	77-76	50%
Feb 06, 2021	248	North Dakota	W	77-76	50%
Feb 12, 2021	333	@ Western Illinois	W	81-79	56%
Feb 13, 2021	333	@ Western Illinois	W	81-79	56%
Feb 19, 2021	275	@ UMKC	L	67-72	34%
Feb 20, 2021	275	@ UMKC	L	67-72	35%
Feb 26, 2021	196	Nebraska Omaha	L	76-79	40%
Feb 27, 2021	196	Nebraska Omaha	L	76-79	40%
Projected Record						9 - 15	6 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.3	0.9	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0			2.6	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.2	0.9	1.9	1.5	0.4	0.0					4.8	3rd
4th							0.0	0.2	1.6	3.1	1.8	0.3	0.0						7.1	4th
5th						0.0	0.6	3.0	4.2	2.1	0.3								10.2	5th
6th					0.2	1.4	4.5	5.7	2.5	0.3	0.0								14.5	6th
7th			0.0	0.6	3.4	6.8	6.1	2.0	0.2	0.0									19.1	7th
8th		0.3	2.6	6.7	7.3	4.6	1.3	0.1											22.9	8th
9th	1.5	4.4	5.7	3.9	1.8	0.4	0.0												17.7	9th
10th																				10th

Total	1.5	4.7	8.3	11.3	12.6	13.2	12.5	11.0	8.6	6.4	4.4	2.9	1.6	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	89.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-2	85.9%	0.3		0.2	0.1
13-3	55.5%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-4	18.6%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-5	4.2%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.0%	0.0					0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																			0.0	0.0
15-1	0.1%		32.9%	32.9%		12.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
14-2	0.4%		22.4%	22.4%		13.7													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
13-3	0.7%		24.0%	24.0%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.5
12-4	1.6%		17.8%	17.8%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	1.3
11-5	2.9%		7.3%	7.3%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	2.6
10-6	4.4%		6.3%	6.3%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	4.1
9-7	6.4%		3.7%	3.7%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	6.2
8-8	8.6%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																0.0	0.2	8.4
7-9	11.0%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	10.8
6-10	12.5%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	12.4
5-11	13.2%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	13.1
4-12	12.6%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	12.6
3-13	11.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
2-14	8.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
1-15	4.7%																							4.7
0-16	1.5%																							1.5

Total	100%		2.0%	2.0%	0.0%	15.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.3	98.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%