Preseason Rankings
UMKC
Summit League
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#275
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.9#312
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#297
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#225
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 6.4% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 20.5% 47.4% 18.3%
.500 or above in Conference 45.4% 65.2% 43.8%
Conference Champion 3.8% 8.5% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
First Round2.8% 5.6% 2.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 7.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 52 - 10
Quad 46 - 58 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 30, 2020 89   @ Kansas St. L 56-72 8%    
  Dec 05, 2020 206   South Dakota L 70-71 49%    
  Dec 10, 2020 37   @ Minnesota L 56-77 3%    
  Dec 12, 2020 137   @ Toledo L 63-74 16%    
  Dec 23, 2020 52   @ Saint Louis L 57-76 4%    
  Jan 02, 2021 248   @ North Dakota L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 03, 2021 248   @ North Dakota L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 08, 2021 206   South Dakota L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 09, 2021 206   South Dakota L 70-71 49%    
  Jan 15, 2021 333   @ Western Illinois W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 16, 2021 333   @ Western Illinois W 74-70 63%    
  Jan 23, 2021 178   @ Oral Roberts L 68-76 24%    
  Jan 24, 2021 178   @ Oral Roberts L 68-76 24%    
  Jan 29, 2021 165   North Dakota St. L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 30, 2021 165   North Dakota St. L 64-67 40%    
  Feb 12, 2021 196   Nebraska Omaha L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 13, 2021 196   Nebraska Omaha L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 19, 2021 305   Denver W 72-67 66%    
  Feb 20, 2021 305   Denver W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 26, 2021 100   @ South Dakota St. L 63-77 12%    
  Feb 27, 2021 100   @ South Dakota St. L 63-77 13%    
Projected Record 8 - 13 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 6.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.2 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.7 3.8 0.9 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.6 6.0 3.6 0.6 0.0 14.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.7 6.2 3.4 0.5 0.0 16.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.5 5.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 16.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.3 4.7 3.3 1.1 0.1 13.6 8th
9th 0.5 1.5 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.5 1.6 3.8 5.7 8.3 10.2 11.9 12.4 11.9 10.1 8.2 6.2 4.3 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.1 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-1 90.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
14-2 72.2% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
13-3 43.1% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-4 15.3% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
11-5 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 30.8% 30.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.6% 31.5% 31.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
14-2 1.5% 24.2% 24.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2
13-3 2.5% 18.5% 18.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.0
12-4 4.3% 14.0% 14.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 3.7
11-5 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.7
10-6 8.2% 5.8% 5.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 7.7
9-7 10.1% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.8
8-8 11.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 11.6
7-9 12.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.3
6-10 11.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.9
5-11 10.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.2
4-12 8.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.3
3-13 5.7% 5.7
2-14 3.8% 3.8
1-15 1.6% 1.6
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.9 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%