Pre-tourney Rankings
Penn St.
Big Ten
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.2#73
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#82
Pace58.5#354
Improvement+1.7#108

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#106
First Shot+1.7#121
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#107
Layup/Dunks-0.7#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#68
Freethrows-1.2#288
Improvement-0.2#198

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#41
First Shot+4.2#61
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#58
Layups/Dunks+5.8#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#314
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#302
Freethrows+3.1#11
Improvement+1.9#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 91 - 9
Quad 1b1 - 12 - 10
Quad 23 - 55 - 15
Quad 35 - 210 - 17
Quad 44 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 251   Youngstown St. W 75-59 92%     1 - 0 +8.8 +4.4 +6.2
  Nov 15, 2021 171   @ Massachusetts L 56-81 73%     1 - 1 -23.1 -17.9 -7.0
  Nov 18, 2021 323   St. Francis Brooklyn W 74-59 96%     2 - 1 +2.4 +0.7 +2.7
  Nov 22, 2021 200   Cornell W 85-74 87%     3 - 1 +7.0 +6.8 -0.1
  Nov 26, 2021 19   LSU L 63-68 OT 30%     3 - 2 +8.6 +1.7 +6.7
  Nov 27, 2021 204   Oregon St. W 60-45 83%     4 - 2 +13.1 -2.0 +18.9
  Dec 01, 2021 54   Miami (FL) L 58-63 54%     4 - 3 +2.2 -8.2 +9.8
  Dec 05, 2021 27   Ohio St. L 64-76 44%     4 - 4 0 - 1 -2.3 -4.9 +2.1
  Dec 08, 2021 172   Wagner W 74-54 84%     5 - 4 +17.5 +4.7 +13.9
  Dec 11, 2021 32   @ Michigan St. L 64-80 30%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -2.3 +0.8 -3.8
  Jan 02, 2022 33   Indiana W 61-58 46%     6 - 5 1 - 2 +12.2 +5.7 +7.0
  Jan 05, 2022 78   @ Northwestern W 74-70 44%     7 - 5 2 - 2 +13.8 +11.0 +3.0
  Jan 08, 2022 14   Purdue L 67-74 29%     7 - 6 2 - 3 +7.0 +5.3 +0.8
  Jan 11, 2022 59   Rutgers W 66-49 55%     8 - 6 3 - 3 +24.0 +2.8 +22.5
  Jan 16, 2022 27   @ Ohio St. L 56-61 28%     8 - 7 3 - 4 +9.2 -6.3 +14.8
  Jan 22, 2022 10   @ Iowa L 51-68 15%     8 - 8 3 - 5 +2.5 -10.6 +11.1
  Jan 26, 2022 33   @ Indiana L 57-74 30%     8 - 9 3 - 6 -3.4 +2.1 -8.3
  Jan 31, 2022 10   Iowa W 90-86 2OT 25%     9 - 9 4 - 6 +19.1 +5.5 +13.0
  Feb 05, 2022 30   @ Wisconsin L 49-51 29%     9 - 10 4 - 7 +11.9 -9.3 +20.8
  Feb 08, 2022 24   Michigan L 57-58 43%     9 - 11 4 - 8 +8.9 -0.7 +9.4
  Feb 12, 2022 105   @ Minnesota L 70-76 55%     9 - 12 4 - 9 +1.0 +6.3 -5.9
  Feb 15, 2022 32   Michigan St. W 62-58 46%     10 - 12 5 - 9 +13.3 +2.3 +11.6
  Feb 17, 2022 105   Minnesota W 67-46 71%     11 - 12 6 - 9 +23.6 +2.8 +23.4
  Feb 21, 2022 64   @ Maryland L 61-67 40%     11 - 13 6 - 10 +4.8 +1.9 +2.0
  Feb 25, 2022 78   Northwestern W 67-60 61%     12 - 13 7 - 10 +12.3 +6.8 +6.5
  Feb 27, 2022 116   Nebraska L 70-93 75%     12 - 14 7 - 11 -22.0 -2.1 -20.2
  Mar 03, 2022 15   @ Illinois L 55-60 21%     12 - 15 7 - 12 +11.8 +2.2 +8.5
  Mar 06, 2022 59   @ Rutgers L 58-59 38%     12 - 16 7 - 13 +10.4 +0.4 +9.9
  Mar 09, 2022 105   Minnesota W 60-51 63%     13 - 16 +13.8 +0.4 +15.2
  Mar 10, 2022 27   Ohio St. W 71-68 36%     14 - 16 +15.0 +8.4 +6.9
  Mar 11, 2022 14   Purdue L 61-69 22%     14 - 17 +8.2 +1.3 +5.7
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%