Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas
Southeastern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.4#16
Expected Predictive Rating+14.7#20
Pace76.0#27
Improvement+3.5#64

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#39
First Shot+3.2#80
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#23
Layup/Dunks+2.9#71
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#309
Freethrows+2.9#15
Improvement+0.1#183

Defense
Total Defense+8.6#10
First Shot+5.9#27
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#9
Layups/Dunks+5.3#16
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#100
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#207
Freethrows+0.2#179
Improvement+3.3#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 57.6% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 99.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round77.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen43.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight16.7% n/a n/a
Final Four7.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 25 - 2
Quad 1b2 - 47 - 6
Quad 25 - 112 - 7
Quad 36 - 118 - 8
Quad 47 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 199   Mercer W 74-61 95%     1 - 0 +9.0 -1.8 +11.1
  Nov 13, 2021 195   Gardner-Webb W 86-69 95%     2 - 0 +13.2 +15.4 -2.3
  Nov 17, 2021 95   Northern Iowa W 93-80 85%     3 - 0 +16.5 +12.8 +2.7
  Nov 22, 2021 62   Kansas St. W 72-64 71%     4 - 0 +16.8 +0.3 +16.2
  Nov 23, 2021 100   Cincinnati W 73-67 81%     5 - 0 +11.2 +0.4 +10.6
  Nov 28, 2021 210   Penn W 76-60 95%     6 - 0 +11.4 -6.7 +17.2
  Dec 01, 2021 316   Central Arkansas W 97-60 98%     7 - 0 +24.9 +0.6 +18.4
  Dec 04, 2021 317   Arkansas Little Rock W 93-78 98%     8 - 0 +2.8 +9.7 -7.5
  Dec 07, 2021 189   Charlotte W 86-66 94%     9 - 0 +16.6 +9.4 +7.1
  Dec 11, 2021 29   Oklahoma L 66-88 60%     9 - 1 -10.2 -3.7 -5.4
  Dec 18, 2021 138   Hofstra L 81-89 91%     9 - 2 -8.2 -4.3 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2021 246   Elon W 81-55 97%     10 - 2 +19.1 +8.4 +11.9
  Dec 29, 2021 46   @ Mississippi St. L 68-81 58%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -0.7 +1.1 -1.8
  Jan 04, 2022 60   Vanderbilt L 74-75 77%     10 - 4 0 - 2 +5.8 +2.7 +3.1
  Jan 08, 2022 42   @ Texas A&M L 81-86 56%     10 - 5 0 - 3 +7.8 +7.9 +0.3
  Jan 12, 2022 113   Missouri W 87-43 88%     11 - 5 1 - 3 +45.4 +12.0 +31.9
  Jan 15, 2022 19   @ LSU W 65-58 44%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +22.8 +4.0 +18.9
  Jan 18, 2022 93   South Carolina W 75-59 84%     13 - 5 3 - 3 +19.7 +4.7 +14.4
  Jan 22, 2022 42   Texas A&M W 76-73 OT 72%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +11.4 -0.3 +11.4
  Jan 26, 2022 99   @ Mississippi W 64-55 75%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +16.5 -0.9 +17.9
  Jan 29, 2022 69   West Virginia W 77-68 79%     16 - 5 +15.0 +5.6 +9.2
  Feb 02, 2022 203   @ Georgia W 99-73 90%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +26.3 +11.0 +12.2
  Feb 05, 2022 46   Mississippi St. W 63-55 74%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +15.8 -1.8 +18.1
  Feb 08, 2022 11   Auburn W 80-76 OT 48%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +19.0 +3.7 +14.7
  Feb 12, 2022 23   @ Alabama L 67-68 50%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +13.5 -7.3 +20.9
  Feb 15, 2022 113   @ Missouri W 76-57 79%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +24.8 +11.6 +14.6
  Feb 19, 2022 7   Tennessee W 58-48 46%     21 - 6 10 - 4 +25.3 -2.6 +28.2
  Feb 22, 2022 47   @ Florida W 82-74 59%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +20.2 +17.7 +2.9
  Feb 26, 2022 3   Kentucky W 75-73 42%     23 - 6 12 - 4 +18.5 +8.9 +9.7
  Mar 02, 2022 19   LSU W 77-76 61%     24 - 6 13 - 4 +12.4 +13.6 -1.2
  Mar 05, 2022 7   @ Tennessee L 74-78 30%     24 - 7 13 - 5 +15.8 +9.4 +6.6
  Mar 11, 2022 19   LSU W 79-67 53%     25 - 7 +25.6 +13.4 +11.9
  Mar 12, 2022 42   Texas A&M L 64-82 65%     25 - 8 -7.4 -4.9 -1.9
Projected Record 25 - 8 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.3 0.0 0.3 14.8 42.5 36.1 6.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.3 0.0 0.3 14.8 42.5 36.1 6.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%