Pre-tourney Rankings
Bellarmine
Atlantic Sun
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#198
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#164
Pace59.0#350
Improvement+2.5#85

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#82
First Shot+5.1#46
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#289
Layup/Dunks+1.1#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#110
Freethrows-0.6#232
Improvement+2.9#44

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#318
First Shot-5.0#324
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#215
Layups/Dunks-0.1#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#346
Freethrows-0.1#196
Improvement-0.5#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 5
Quad 21 - 11 - 6
Quad 31 - 42 - 10
Quad 414 - 316 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 14   @ Purdue L 67-96 4%     0 - 1 -10.6 +2.3 -14.3
  Nov 13, 2021 56   @ Murray St. L 59-78 11%     0 - 2 -7.4 -5.4 -2.8
  Nov 17, 2021 20   @ St. Mary's L 64-73 6%     0 - 3 +6.6 +3.8 +2.5
  Nov 19, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 50-92 1%     0 - 4 -15.9 -10.0 -6.9
  Nov 22, 2021 8   UCLA L 62-75 5%     0 - 5 +4.4 -2.8 +7.2
  Nov 23, 2021 299   Central Michigan W 76-69 73%     1 - 5 -1.2 +4.4 -5.1
  Nov 30, 2021 69   @ West Virginia L 55-74 13%     1 - 6 -8.5 -8.0 -2.1
  Dec 15, 2021 202   @ South Dakota L 64-78 42%     1 - 7 -13.7 -7.1 -7.4
  Dec 18, 2021 248   @ Miami (OH) W 77-68 53%     2 - 7 +6.5 +15.4 -7.1
  Dec 21, 2021 183   Loyola Marymount L 57-71 55%     2 - 8 -17.2 -12.3 -6.9
  Jan 08, 2022 262   Eastern Kentucky W 66-61 73%     3 - 8 1 - 0 -3.0 -5.3 +2.8
  Jan 11, 2022 316   Central Arkansas W 85-63 83%     4 - 8 2 - 0 +9.9 +7.2 +3.5
  Jan 15, 2022 268   @ Lipscomb W 77-71 58%     5 - 8 3 - 0 +2.1 +4.3 -1.8
  Jan 18, 2022 320   North Alabama W 68-60 84%     6 - 8 4 - 0 -4.3 +1.6 -4.8
  Jan 22, 2022 184   Jacksonville W 76-73 OT 55%     7 - 8 5 - 0 -0.2 +7.3 -7.3
  Jan 24, 2022 153   @ Jacksonville St. L 60-65 32%     7 - 9 5 - 1 -2.0 -4.6 +2.0
  Jan 27, 2022 294   @ Stetson W 72-47 65%     8 - 9 6 - 1 +19.3 +10.6 +13.6
  Jan 29, 2022 205   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 74-63 43%     9 - 9 7 - 1 +11.1 +5.4 +6.6
  Feb 03, 2022 136   Liberty L 53-66 44%     9 - 10 7 - 2 -13.2 -13.6 -1.2
  Feb 05, 2022 230   Kennesaw St. L 70-75 65%     9 - 11 7 - 3 -10.7 -4.8 -6.2
  Feb 09, 2022 266   @ North Florida W 73-70 58%     10 - 11 8 - 3 -0.8 +7.5 -7.9
  Feb 12, 2022 320   @ North Alabama W 75-69 72%     11 - 11 9 - 3 -1.9 +7.9 -9.2
  Feb 16, 2022 316   @ Central Arkansas W 79-69 72%     12 - 11 10 - 3 +2.3 +2.4 +0.2
  Feb 20, 2022 153   Jacksonville St. L 67-82 49%     12 - 12 10 - 4 -16.4 +10.3 -30.6
  Feb 23, 2022 268   Lipscomb W 76-73 73%     13 - 12 11 - 4 -5.3 +3.6 -8.6
  Feb 26, 2022 262   @ Eastern Kentucky L 58-72 57%     13 - 13 11 - 5 -17.6 -6.5 -13.9
  Mar 03, 2022 205   Florida Gulf Coast W 81-68 60%     14 - 13 +8.6 +18.7 -7.8
  Mar 05, 2022 136   @ Liberty W 53-50 28%     15 - 13 +7.3 -6.6 +14.5
  Mar 08, 2022 184   Jacksonville W 77-72 55%     16 - 13 +1.8 +19.7 -16.8
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%