Pre-tourney Rankings
Colgate
Patriot League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#125
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#173
Pace68.3#169
Improvement+5.6#24

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#84
First Shot+3.7#73
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#195
Layup/Dunks+1.0#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#12
Freethrows-1.7#309
Improvement+1.5#100

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#203
First Shot+0.3#170
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#278
Layups/Dunks+0.1#184
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#345
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#87
Freethrows+1.2#91
Improvement+4.1#26
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.3% n/a n/a
First Round98.4% n/a n/a
Second Round6.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 01 - 2
Quad 31 - 62 - 8
Quad 420 - 322 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 253   Northeastern W 65-58 83%     1 - 0 -0.3 -8.4 +8.3
  Nov 13, 2021 127   @ North Carolina St. L 74-77 42%     1 - 1 +1.9 +8.8 -7.2
  Nov 16, 2021 200   @ Cornell L 68-78 59%     1 - 2 -9.6 -10.8 +2.1
  Nov 20, 2021 65   @ Syracuse W 100-85 22%     2 - 2 +25.7 +24.0 +1.1
  Nov 24, 2021 228   @ Harvard L 84-89 OT 65%     2 - 3 -6.3 +0.5 -6.0
  Nov 29, 2021 201   Niagara L 59-70 74%     2 - 4 -15.0 -9.5 -6.5
  Dec 03, 2021 253   @ Northeastern L 69-74 71%     2 - 5 -7.9 +3.4 -11.8
  Dec 06, 2021 351   Columbia W 89-61 95%     3 - 5 +11.2 +7.4 +3.7
  Dec 09, 2021 165   @ Pittsburgh L 68-71 52%     3 - 6 -0.7 +1.8 -2.7
  Dec 12, 2021 45   @ St. John's L 64-82 18%     3 - 7 -5.7 -4.2 -1.3
  Dec 19, 2021 175   @ Monmouth L 66-77 54%     3 - 8 -9.3 -2.2 -7.6
  Dec 22, 2021 68   @ Vermont L 68-78 23%     3 - 9 +0.5 +0.0 +0.6
  Jan 04, 2022 290   @ Lehigh L 81-85 78%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -9.5 +1.6 -10.9
  Jan 10, 2022 289   Army W 76-57 88%     4 - 10 1 - 1 +9.1 +3.0 +7.1
  Jan 13, 2022 197   @ Navy W 69-50 59%     5 - 10 2 - 1 +19.5 +7.2 +14.0
  Jan 19, 2022 336   @ Bucknell W 75-56 87%     6 - 10 3 - 1 +9.8 -0.1 +11.4
  Jan 24, 2022 271   Loyola Maryland W 65-52 85%     7 - 10 4 - 1 +4.5 -4.9 +10.5
  Jan 28, 2022 218   @ Boston University L 72-76 62%     7 - 11 4 - 2 -4.6 -4.6 +0.0
  Jan 31, 2022 310   @ Lafayette W 72-61 83%     8 - 11 5 - 2 +3.6 -1.4 +5.7
  Feb 02, 2022 336   Bucknell W 83-69 93%     9 - 11 6 - 2 +0.3 +1.9 -1.1
  Feb 05, 2022 328   @ American W 86-68 85%     10 - 11 7 - 2 +9.5 +19.9 -8.2
  Feb 07, 2022 344   Holy Cross W 87-60 94%     11 - 11 8 - 2 +11.9 +6.7 +4.8
  Feb 09, 2022 290   Lehigh W 78-62 88%     12 - 11 9 - 2 +6.1 +0.6 +5.8
  Feb 12, 2022 271   @ Loyola Maryland W 64-56 74%     13 - 11 10 - 2 +3.9 -5.9 +10.2
  Feb 14, 2022 310   Lafayette W 69-61 91%     14 - 11 11 - 2 -3.8 -2.0 -0.7
  Feb 16, 2022 289   @ Army W 100-90 78%     15 - 11 12 - 2 +4.5 +22.5 -18.2
  Feb 19, 2022 218   Boston University W 72-53 77%     16 - 11 13 - 2 +14.0 -1.7 +16.9
  Feb 21, 2022 328   American W 63-49 92%     17 - 11 14 - 2 +1.1 -9.4 +11.9
  Feb 23, 2022 344   @ Holy Cross W 78-71 89%     18 - 11 15 - 2 -3.7 +3.4 -6.8
  Feb 26, 2022 197   Navy W 74-69 74%     19 - 11 16 - 2 +1.1 +4.3 -3.2
  Mar 03, 2022 336   Bucknell W 96-68 93%     20 - 11 +14.3 +16.7 -1.2
  Mar 06, 2022 290   Lehigh W 81-61 88%     21 - 11 +10.1 +3.8 +6.7
  Mar 09, 2022 197   Navy W 74-58 74%     22 - 11 +12.1 +7.5 +5.4
Projected Record 22 - 11 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.2 0.2 8.3 58.9 32.6
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.2 8.3 58.9 32.6