Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado
Pac-12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#57
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#54
Pace68.2#176
Improvement+4.5#39

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#83
First Shot+3.5#77
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#160
Layup/Dunks+2.4#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#231
Freethrows+3.0#12
Improvement+0.9#137

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#39
First Shot+4.1#62
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#45
Layups/Dunks+0.1#180
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#36
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#129
Freethrows+0.9#104
Improvement+3.6#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four10.2% n/a n/a
First Round5.1% n/a n/a
Second Round1.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 6
Quad 26 - 27 - 8
Quad 36 - 313 - 11
Quad 48 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 140   Montana St. W 94-90 OT 82%     1 - 0 +3.7 +11.9 -8.6
  Nov 13, 2021 155   New Mexico W 87-76 85%     2 - 0 +9.4 +4.0 +4.5
  Nov 15, 2021 352   Maine W 90-46 98%     3 - 0 +26.9 +9.8 +17.6
  Nov 19, 2021 124   Southern Illinois L 63-67 73%     3 - 1 -1.1 +3.2 -4.9
  Nov 20, 2021 267   Duquesne W 84-76 OT 92%     4 - 1 +2.0 +2.9 -1.4
  Nov 22, 2021 215   Brown W 54-52 87%     5 - 1 -0.6 -16.4 +15.9
  Nov 28, 2021 97   Stanford W 80-76 72%     6 - 1 +7.4 +14.8 -7.1
  Dec 01, 2021 8   @ UCLA L 61-73 17%     6 - 2 0 - 1 +7.6 +0.6 +6.3
  Dec 04, 2021 7   Tennessee L 54-69 28%     6 - 3 +0.3 -8.0 +8.3
  Dec 08, 2021 219   Eastern Washington W 60-57 90%     7 - 3 -2.1 -11.2 +9.4
  Dec 10, 2021 329   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 65-54 97%     8 - 3 -2.0 -10.3 +8.7
  Dec 18, 2021 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 60-46 94%     9 - 3 +5.9 -9.6 +17.2
  Jan 06, 2022 51   Washington St. W 83-78 58%     10 - 3 1 - 1 +12.4 +9.3 +2.8
  Jan 09, 2022 101   Washington W 78-64 73%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +16.9 +4.6 +11.9
  Jan 13, 2022 2   @ Arizona L 55-76 12%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +1.1 -13.0 +15.6
  Jan 15, 2022 83   @ Arizona St. W 75-57 51%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +27.1 +11.4 +15.9
  Jan 20, 2022 41   USC L 58-61 54%     12 - 5 3 - 3 +5.4 -10.3 +15.7
  Jan 22, 2022 8   UCLA L 65-71 29%     12 - 6 3 - 4 +9.2 +3.2 +5.6
  Jan 25, 2022 70   @ Oregon W 82-78 46%     13 - 6 4 - 4 +14.4 +9.4 +4.8
  Jan 27, 2022 101   @ Washington L 58-60 58%     13 - 7 4 - 5 +5.4 -9.2 +14.5
  Jan 30, 2022 51   @ Washington St. L 43-70 40%     13 - 8 4 - 6 -15.2 -16.9 -2.1
  Feb 03, 2022 70   Oregon L 51-66 63%     13 - 9 4 - 7 -9.0 -17.7 +8.1
  Feb 05, 2022 204   Oregon St. W 86-63 89%     14 - 9 5 - 7 +18.9 +15.7 +5.3
  Feb 12, 2022 114   Utah W 81-76 78%     15 - 9 6 - 7 +6.3 +8.6 -2.2
  Feb 15, 2022 204   @ Oregon St. W 90-64 80%     16 - 9 7 - 7 +26.3 +10.8 +14.6
  Feb 17, 2022 122   @ California W 70-62 66%     17 - 9 8 - 7 +13.2 +10.7 +3.4
  Feb 19, 2022 97   @ Stanford W 70-53 56%     18 - 9 9 - 7 +24.8 +8.3 +18.1
  Feb 24, 2022 83   Arizona St. L 65-82 67%     18 - 10 9 - 8 -12.3 -3.4 -8.4
  Feb 26, 2022 2   Arizona W 79-63 22%     19 - 10 10 - 8 +33.7 +14.1 +19.8
  Mar 05, 2022 114   @ Utah W 84-71 64%     20 - 10 11 - 8 +18.8 +16.6 +2.8
  Mar 10, 2022 70   Oregon W 80-69 54%     21 - 10 +19.2 +5.3 +13.2
  Mar 11, 2022 2   Arizona L 72-82 16%     21 - 11 +9.9 +3.6 +6.7
Projected Record 21 - 11 11 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 10.4% 10.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 8.5 0.7 89.6 10.4%
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.4% 0.0% 10.4% 12.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 8.5 0.7 89.6 10.4%