Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
Big East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.1#17
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#23
Pace64.2#288
Improvement-2.0#256

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#20
First Shot+4.3#57
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#5
Layup/Dunks+2.7#74
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#147
Freethrows+2.2#31
Improvement-0.3#200

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#34
First Shot+6.6#16
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#217
Layups/Dunks+0.0#187
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#43
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#12
Freethrows-0.3#217
Improvement-1.7#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 17.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 92.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round69.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen35.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight13.6% n/a n/a
Final Four5.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 6
Quad 28 - 313 - 9
Quad 33 - 016 - 9
Quad 47 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 348   Central Connecticut St. W 99-48 99%     1 - 0 +35.2 +15.1 +18.1
  Nov 13, 2021 319   Coppin St. W 89-54 98%     2 - 0 +22.8 +6.3 +13.4
  Nov 17, 2021 241   LIU Brooklyn W 93-40 96%     3 - 0 +46.3 +9.6 +32.3
  Nov 20, 2021 288   Binghamton W 87-63 98%     4 - 0 +14.3 +13.0 +1.9
  Nov 24, 2021 11   Auburn W 115-109 2OT 38%     5 - 0 +23.2 +20.6 +0.9
  Nov 25, 2021 32   Michigan St. L 60-64 60%     5 - 1 +7.5 -7.1 +14.6
  Nov 26, 2021 66   Virginia Commonwealth W 70-63 OT 71%     6 - 1 +15.5 +2.2 +12.8
  Nov 30, 2021 334   Maryland Eastern Shore W 72-63 99%     7 - 1 -4.3 +6.2 -9.3
  Dec 04, 2021 318   Grambling St. W 88-59 98%     8 - 1 +16.8 +14.1 +3.7
  Dec 08, 2021 69   @ West Virginia L 53-56 64%     8 - 2 +7.5 -8.1 +15.3
  Dec 11, 2021 82   St. Bonaventure W 74-64 75%     9 - 2 +16.9 +6.7 +10.5
  Dec 18, 2021 38   Providence L 53-57 70%     9 - 3 0 - 1 +4.7 -11.9 +16.2
  Dec 21, 2021 40   @ Marquette W 78-70 55%     10 - 3 1 - 1 +20.9 +12.2 +8.8
  Jan 08, 2022 34   @ Seton Hall L 87-90 OT 53%     10 - 4 1 - 2 +10.4 +17.5 -7.0
  Jan 12, 2022 45   St. John's W 86-78 OT 73%     11 - 4 2 - 2 +15.9 +6.9 +8.1
  Jan 18, 2022 108   Butler W 76-59 86%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +19.5 +7.8 +12.1
  Jan 20, 2022 108   @ Butler W 75-56 75%     13 - 4 4 - 2 +25.9 +10.4 +16.3
  Jan 25, 2022 150   Georgetown W 96-73 92%     14 - 4 5 - 2 +21.8 +27.5 -4.2
  Jan 29, 2022 90   @ DePaul W 57-50 71%     15 - 4 6 - 2 +15.5 -5.0 +21.4
  Feb 01, 2022 43   Creighton L 55-59 71%     15 - 5 6 - 3 +4.3 -5.8 +9.7
  Feb 05, 2022 12   @ Villanova L 74-85 32%     15 - 6 6 - 4 +7.8 +12.7 -5.5
  Feb 08, 2022 40   Marquette W 80-72 71%     16 - 6 7 - 4 +16.5 +14.4 +2.3
  Feb 11, 2022 50   @ Xavier L 68-74 58%     16 - 7 7 - 5 +6.0 +4.7 +0.9
  Feb 13, 2022 45   @ St. John's W 63-60 57%     17 - 7 8 - 5 +15.3 -6.9 +22.1
  Feb 16, 2022 34   Seton Hall W 70-65 69%     18 - 7 9 - 5 +14.0 +11.3 +3.3
  Feb 19, 2022 50   Xavier W 72-61 73%     19 - 7 10 - 5 +18.6 +4.3 +14.6
  Feb 22, 2022 12   Villanova W 71-69 49%     20 - 7 11 - 5 +16.4 +12.7 +4.0
  Feb 27, 2022 150   @ Georgetown W 86-77 84%     21 - 7 12 - 5 +12.3 +17.0 -4.4
  Mar 02, 2022 43   @ Creighton L 62-64 55%     21 - 8 12 - 6 +10.7 +6.1 +4.4
  Mar 05, 2022 90   DePaul W 75-68 83%     22 - 8 13 - 6 +11.1 +8.6 +2.9
  Mar 10, 2022 34   Seton Hall W 62-52 61%     23 - 8 +21.2 +6.6 +16.3
  Mar 11, 2022 12   Villanova L 60-63 40%     23 - 9 +13.6 +7.5 +5.5
Projected Record 23 - 9 13 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 99.9% 99.9% 5.3 0.0 2.8 14.4 44.1 31.3 6.8 0.4 0.0 0.1 99.9%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 5.3 0.0 2.8 14.4 44.1 31.3 6.8 0.4 0.0 0.1 99.9%