Pre-tourney Rankings
Davidson
Atlantic 10
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#52
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#40
Pace63.2#316
Improvement+1.6#111

Offense
Total Offense+9.4#12
First Shot+10.2#4
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#248
Layup/Dunks+2.5#79
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#167
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#21
Freethrows+2.1#36
Improvement+0.6#153

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#168
First Shot-0.9#210
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#76
Layups/Dunks+3.0#60
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#192
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#341
Freethrows+0.6#135
Improvement+1.0#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 50.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 50.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four28.4% n/a n/a
First Round35.6% n/a n/a
Second Round13.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 12 - 2
Quad 24 - 36 - 5
Quad 39 - 115 - 6
Quad 411 - 026 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 147   Delaware W 93-71 84%     1 - 0 +20.9 +19.4 +1.8
  Nov 13, 2021 21   San Francisco L 60-65 38%     1 - 1 +7.8 -5.0 +12.8
  Nov 18, 2021 85   New Mexico St. L 64-75 61%     1 - 2 -4.2 +1.3 -6.6
  Nov 19, 2021 210   Penn W 72-60 87%     2 - 2 +9.6 +5.2 +6.1
  Nov 21, 2021 168   East Carolina W 76-67 82%     3 - 2 +8.8 +7.4 +1.9
  Nov 27, 2021 311   Robert Morris W 88-70 97%     4 - 2 +6.2 +7.5 -1.3
  Nov 30, 2021 189   @ Charlotte W 75-58 79%     5 - 2 +18.0 +7.9 +11.7
  Dec 04, 2021 338   William & Mary W 70-46 98%     6 - 2 +10.1 -6.6 +16.8
  Dec 12, 2021 253   @ Northeastern W 79-69 88%     7 - 2 +7.1 +11.3 -3.6
  Dec 18, 2021 287   Radford W 74-54 95%     8 - 2 +10.3 +6.6 +6.2
  Dec 21, 2021 23   Alabama W 79-78 40%     9 - 2 +13.3 +13.5 -0.2
  Jan 05, 2022 161   @ Saint Joseph's W 88-73 75%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +17.5 +16.4 +0.8
  Jan 08, 2022 137   Rhode Island W 72-68 82%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +3.8 +10.8 -6.5
  Jan 11, 2022 171   Massachusetts W 77-67 87%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +7.5 +2.1 +6.1
  Jan 14, 2022 81   @ Richmond W 87-84 52%     13 - 2 4 - 0 +12.1 +21.4 -9.2
  Jan 18, 2022 66   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 63-61 46%     14 - 2 5 - 0 +12.7 +10.0 +3.0
  Jan 22, 2022 176   @ Fordham W 69-66 78%     15 - 2 6 - 0 +4.7 +9.7 -4.7
  Jan 26, 2022 66   Virginia Commonwealth L 68-70 63%     15 - 3 6 - 1 +4.3 +8.6 -4.5
  Jan 29, 2022 214   La Salle W 77-69 90%     16 - 3 7 - 1 +3.2 +6.1 -2.5
  Feb 01, 2022 82   @ St. Bonaventure W 81-76 52%     17 - 3 8 - 1 +14.1 +14.9 -0.7
  Feb 05, 2022 212   @ George Washington W 78-73 82%     18 - 3 9 - 1 +4.7 +13.3 -8.1
  Feb 09, 2022 161   Saint Joseph's W 73-67 OT 86%     19 - 3 10 - 1 +4.1 +3.9 +0.4
  Feb 12, 2022 137   @ Rhode Island L 65-72 70%     19 - 4 10 - 2 -2.8 +3.7 -7.1
  Feb 14, 2022 267   Duquesne W 72-61 94%     20 - 4 11 - 2 +2.8 -2.2 +5.5
  Feb 19, 2022 67   Saint Louis W 79-58 63%     21 - 4 12 - 2 +27.1 +13.3 +15.0
  Feb 23, 2022 267   @ Duquesne W 74-50 89%     22 - 4 13 - 2 +20.2 +10.8 +13.2
  Feb 26, 2022 176   Fordham W 66-45 87%     23 - 4 14 - 2 +18.3 -5.0 +22.5
  Mar 02, 2022 118   George Mason W 73-62 79%     24 - 4 15 - 2 +12.0 +7.7 +5.3
  Mar 05, 2022 63   @ Dayton L 76-82 45%     24 - 5 15 - 3 +5.0 +19.5 -15.3
  Mar 11, 2022 176   Fordham W 74-56 83%     25 - 5 +17.5 +10.1 +8.2
  Mar 12, 2022 67   Saint Louis W 84-69 55%     26 - 5 +23.3 +15.8 +7.7
  Mar 13, 2022 81   Richmond L 62-64 60%     26 - 6 +4.9 -3.4 +8.1
Projected Record 26 - 6 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 50.0% 50.0% 11.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 7.5 27.2 12.9 0.1 50.0 50.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 50.0% 0.0% 50.0% 11.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 7.5 27.2 12.9 0.1 50.0 50.0%