Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#205
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#183
Pace73.9#49
Improvement-0.8#208

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#155
First Shot+0.8#154
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#168
Layup/Dunks-0.5#183
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#356
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#16
Freethrows-0.1#182
Improvement+0.1#184

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#262
First Shot-4.1#302
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#75
Layups/Dunks-3.0#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#242
Freethrows+0.6#134
Improvement-1.0#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 31 - 52 - 7
Quad 417 - 419 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 31   @ Loyola Chicago L 77-89 8%     0 - 1 +1.8 +10.5 -8.4
  Nov 16, 2021 41   USC L 61-78 16%     0 - 2 -8.6 -6.0 -3.0
  Nov 23, 2021 137   Rhode Island W 67-66 42%     1 - 2 +0.8 +4.2 -3.3
  Nov 26, 2021 309   Western Michigan W 77-67 81%     2 - 2 -1.5 -1.7 +0.3
  Nov 27, 2021 286   SE Louisiana W 90-71 76%     3 - 2 +9.3 +1.1 +6.5
  Nov 28, 2021 220   Purdue Fort Wayne W 85-78 61%     4 - 2 +1.9 +8.0 -6.3
  Dec 01, 2021 264   @ Florida International L 61-77 56%     4 - 3 -19.7 -14.8 -4.4
  Dec 04, 2021 206   Dartmouth W 78-68 OT 59%     5 - 3 +5.6 -5.6 +9.8
  Dec 07, 2021 314   @ Florida A&M W 69-55 70%     6 - 3 +6.4 -6.9 +13.3
  Dec 11, 2021 311   @ Robert Morris W 85-74 69%     7 - 3 +3.6 +5.5 -2.0
  Dec 19, 2021 199   Mercer W 67-55 57%     8 - 3 +8.0 -4.3 +13.4
  Dec 22, 2021 261   @ Canisius L 90-97 OT 55%     8 - 4 -10.6 +1.4 -10.8
  Jan 05, 2022 266   North Florida W 74-67 72%     9 - 4 1 - 0 -1.2 +2.0 -2.9
  Jan 08, 2022 184   @ Jacksonville L 66-69 37%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -1.8 +1.1 -3.1
  Jan 13, 2022 230   @ Kennesaw St. L 53-77 47%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -25.3 -21.3 -4.9
  Jan 15, 2022 136   Liberty L 75-78 42%     9 - 7 1 - 3 -3.2 +2.7 -5.9
  Jan 18, 2022 294   @ Stetson W 93-91 OT 64%     10 - 7 2 - 3 -3.7 +5.2 -9.2
  Jan 22, 2022 153   @ Jacksonville St. L 71-79 31%     10 - 8 2 - 4 -5.0 -0.2 -4.9
  Jan 27, 2022 262   Eastern Kentucky W 77-73 71%     11 - 8 3 - 4 -4.0 -3.7 -0.5
  Jan 29, 2022 198   Bellarmine L 63-74 57%     11 - 9 3 - 5 -15.0 -11.2 -4.7
  Feb 03, 2022 316   @ Central Arkansas W 95-93 OT 70%     12 - 9 4 - 5 -5.7 +2.7 -8.7
  Feb 05, 2022 268   @ Lipscomb W 77-68 57%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +5.1 -8.0 +12.2
  Feb 09, 2022 320   North Alabama W 92-60 83%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +19.7 +14.9 +4.2
  Feb 12, 2022 294   Stetson W 89-82 OT 78%     15 - 9 7 - 5 -3.1 -4.9 +0.5
  Feb 16, 2022 230   Kennesaw St. W 82-76 64%     16 - 9 8 - 5 +0.3 +5.6 -5.1
  Feb 19, 2022 266   @ North Florida L 64-70 56%     16 - 10 8 - 6 -9.8 -13.2 +3.7
  Feb 23, 2022 136   @ Liberty W 82-72 OT 27%     17 - 10 9 - 6 +14.3 +1.6 +11.5
  Feb 26, 2022 184   Jacksonville W 76-69 54%     18 - 10 10 - 6 +3.8 +9.4 -5.0
  Mar 01, 2022 320   North Alabama W 81-72 83%     19 - 10 -3.3 +8.1 -11.1
  Mar 03, 2022 198   @ Bellarmine L 68-81 40%     19 - 11 -12.6 +3.2 -18.1
Projected Record 19 - 11 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%