Pre-tourney Rankings
Idaho St.
Big Sky
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#327
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#337
Pace62.2#334
Improvement+6.2#14

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#307
First Shot-6.7#338
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#59
Layup/Dunks-3.7#316
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#186
Freethrows-0.1#176
Improvement+4.6#16

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#320
First Shot-5.2#331
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#202
Layups/Dunks-5.5#341
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#96
Freethrows-1.3#286
Improvement+1.6#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 30 - 80 - 10
Quad 45 - 135 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 265   @ Pepperdine L 60-65 26%     0 - 1 -8.8 -15.2 +6.5
  Nov 14, 2021 141   @ Seattle L 51-77 9%     0 - 2 -21.8 -14.1 -9.1
  Nov 19, 2021 116   @ Nebraska L 60-78 8%     0 - 3 -12.6 -4.8 -9.6
  Nov 22, 2021 217   UMKC L 58-74 29%     0 - 4 -20.9 -7.6 -15.8
  Nov 27, 2021 249   @ Air Force L 48-59 23%     0 - 5 -13.7 -17.2 +1.9
  Dec 02, 2021 244   Portland St. L 55-63 36%     0 - 6 0 - 1 -14.9 -19.0 +4.0
  Dec 04, 2021 330   Northern Arizona L 70-73 59%     0 - 7 0 - 2 -16.0 -3.3 -13.0
  Dec 08, 2021 122   @ California L 46-72 8%     0 - 8 -20.8 -14.1 -10.8
  Dec 22, 2021 130   @ UC Santa Barbara L 43-56 9%     0 - 9 -8.4 -19.5 +8.4
  Dec 30, 2021 236   @ Montana L 54-78 20%     0 - 10 0 - 3 -25.7 -14.4 -13.8
  Jan 01, 2022 140   @ Montana St. L 40-60 9%     0 - 11 0 - 4 -15.8 -27.6 +10.2
  Jan 15, 2022 321   Idaho W 81-74 57%     1 - 11 1 - 4 -5.3 -2.6 -2.9
  Jan 17, 2022 170   Weber St. L 61-78 22%     1 - 12 1 - 5 -19.5 -18.6 +0.5
  Jan 20, 2022 170   @ Weber St. L 63-95 12%     1 - 13 1 - 6 -30.1 -12.2 -16.4
  Jan 22, 2022 167   @ Southern Utah L 74-86 12%     1 - 14 1 - 7 -9.8 -0.7 -9.1
  Jan 24, 2022 219   Eastern Washington L 63-89 30%     1 - 15 1 - 8 -31.1 -15.5 -15.0
  Jan 27, 2022 303   @ Sacramento St. L 60-61 34%     1 - 16 1 - 9 -7.3 -5.0 -2.6
  Feb 05, 2022 236   Montana W 86-63 33%     2 - 16 2 - 9 +16.9 +17.3 +1.6
  Feb 07, 2022 140   Montana St. L 54-72 17%     2 - 17 2 - 10 -18.3 -6.9 -15.3
  Feb 10, 2022 321   @ Idaho W 79-70 40%     3 - 17 3 - 10 +1.1 -1.3 +2.3
  Feb 12, 2022 219   @ Eastern Washington L 72-75 18%     3 - 18 3 - 11 -3.6 +2.9 -6.8
  Feb 17, 2022 211   Northern Colorado W 61-58 29%     4 - 18 4 - 11 -1.7 -11.2 +9.8
  Feb 19, 2022 303   Sacramento St. L 75-80 51%     4 - 19 4 - 12 -15.8 +3.3 -19.5
  Feb 21, 2022 211   @ Northern Colorado L 70-77 17%     4 - 20 4 - 13 -7.3 -3.0 -4.7
  Feb 24, 2022 330   @ Northern Arizona W 70-66 42%     5 - 20 5 - 13 -4.6 +0.3 -4.4
  Feb 26, 2022 244   @ Portland St. L 69-73 OT 22%     5 - 21 5 - 14 -6.4 -5.2 -1.1
  Mar 03, 2022 167   Southern Utah L 71-79 22%     5 - 22 5 - 15 -10.3 +1.1 -12.1
  Mar 09, 2022 244   Portland St. L 52-66 28%     5 - 23 -18.6 -21.3 +2.7
Projected Record 5 - 23 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%