Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana St.
Missouri Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#223
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#231
Pace72.7#64
Improvement-3.0#300

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#268
First Shot+0.1#183
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#353
Layup/Dunks+2.0#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#82
Freethrows-0.2#189
Improvement-3.9#339

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#161
First Shot-1.2#220
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#53
Layups/Dunks+0.0#185
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#222
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#229
Freethrows+0.2#175
Improvement+0.9#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 51 - 10
Quad 31 - 72 - 17
Quad 46 - 38 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 337   @ Green Bay W 81-77 73%     1 - 0 -5.3 +1.9 -7.3
  Nov 12, 2021 14   @ Purdue L 67-92 3%     1 - 1 -6.6 -3.6 -2.0
  Nov 18, 2021 181   Old Dominion W 77-36 41%     2 - 1 +40.3 +7.8 +34.1
  Nov 19, 2021 29   Oklahoma L 63-87 9%     2 - 2 -12.2 -7.5 -3.2
  Nov 21, 2021 85   New Mexico St. L 66-80 18%     2 - 3 -7.2 -1.2 -6.4
  Nov 27, 2021 254   @ Ball St. L 75-97 49%     2 - 4 -24.9 -3.5 -20.6
  Dec 01, 2021 31   @ Loyola Chicago L 76-88 7%     2 - 5 0 - 1 +1.8 +13.6 -12.1
  Dec 04, 2021 248   Miami (OH) W 69-68 65%     3 - 5 -5.9 -11.9 +5.9
  Dec 13, 2021 149   @ North Dakota St. L 70-77 27%     3 - 6 -3.7 +2.0 -6.0
  Dec 18, 2021 332   Alabama A&M W 67-43 83%     4 - 6 +10.9 -4.6 +16.1
  Jan 02, 2022 98   Bradley W 76-71 27%     5 - 6 1 - 1 +8.3 +2.7 +5.4
  Jan 11, 2022 95   @ Northern Iowa L 74-80 OT 15%     5 - 7 1 - 2 +1.9 -4.7 +7.3
  Jan 15, 2022 31   Loyola Chicago L 56-64 13%     5 - 8 1 - 3 +1.4 -11.6 +13.2
  Jan 19, 2022 124   @ Southern Illinois L 55-63 22%     5 - 9 1 - 4 -2.9 -7.0 +3.1
  Jan 22, 2022 185   Valparaiso L 73-75 51%     5 - 10 1 - 5 -5.2 -5.7 +0.6
  Jan 25, 2022 75   Missouri St. W 76-72 20%     6 - 10 2 - 5 +9.7 -3.2 +12.6
  Jan 30, 2022 98   @ Bradley L 52-67 16%     6 - 11 2 - 6 -7.3 -17.1 +10.3
  Feb 02, 2022 87   Drake L 67-85 25%     6 - 12 2 - 7 -13.8 -2.3 -12.0
  Feb 05, 2022 185   @ Valparaiso L 72-79 2OT 34%     6 - 13 2 - 8 -5.8 -6.3 +1.0
  Feb 08, 2022 302   Evansville L 56-65 77%     6 - 14 2 - 9 -19.7 -19.0 -0.9
  Feb 10, 2022 302   @ Evansville W 80-77 2OT 62%     7 - 14 3 - 9 -3.3 -4.8 +1.1
  Feb 12, 2022 178   Illinois St. W 60-57 49%     8 - 14 4 - 9 +0.2 -14.3 +14.6
  Feb 15, 2022 75   @ Missouri St. L 70-79 11%     8 - 15 4 - 10 +1.1 -1.4 +2.6
  Feb 19, 2022 124   Southern Illinois L 72-76 36%     8 - 16 4 - 11 -3.3 +6.7 -10.3
  Feb 21, 2022 87   @ Drake L 58-74 14%     8 - 17 4 - 12 -7.4 -8.0 -0.2
  Feb 23, 2022 95   Northern Iowa L 82-88 26%     8 - 18 4 - 13 -2.5 +11.8 -14.5
  Feb 26, 2022 178   @ Illinois St. L 66-86 33%     8 - 19 4 - 14 -18.4 -9.1 -8.8
  Mar 03, 2022 178   Illinois St. L 53-58 41%     8 - 20 -5.6 -17.2 +11.2
Projected Record 8 - 20 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%