Pre-tourney Rankings
Iowa St.
Big 12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#55
Expected Predictive Rating+12.8#28
Pace66.5#219
Improvement-5.7#341

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#153
First Shot+0.6#157
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#153
Layup/Dunks+0.8#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#226
Freethrows-0.9#253
Improvement-0.8#220

Defense
Total Defense+8.6#11
First Shot+6.2#18
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#19
Layups/Dunks+9.0#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#86
Freethrows-1.2#276
Improvement-4.9#342
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 87.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 87.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.0% n/a n/a
First Round86.3% n/a n/a
Second Round35.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b7 - 09 - 8
Quad 21 - 410 - 12
Quad 32 - 012 - 12
Quad 48 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 230   Kennesaw St. W 84-73 91%     1 - 0 +5.3 -6.1 +9.9
  Nov 12, 2021 204   Oregon St. W 60-50 89%     2 - 0 +5.9 -20.1 +25.7
  Nov 16, 2021 333   Alabama St. W 68-60 97%     3 - 0 -5.1 -15.4 +9.9
  Nov 21, 2021 318   Grambling St. W 82-47 97%     4 - 0 +22.8 +11.7 +13.9
  Nov 24, 2021 50   Xavier W 82-70 49%     5 - 0 +21.8 +12.3 +9.3
  Nov 26, 2021 25   Memphis W 78-59 40%     6 - 0 +31.1 +8.6 +21.7
  Dec 01, 2021 354   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-64 99%     7 - 0 +0.2 -1.7 +2.2
  Dec 04, 2021 43   @ Creighton W 64-58 38%     8 - 0 +18.7 +4.6 +14.5
  Dec 09, 2021 10   Iowa W 73-53 29%     9 - 0 +35.1 +7.2 +29.1
  Dec 12, 2021 292   Jackson St. W 47-37 95%     10 - 0 -0.1 -20.4 +21.8
  Dec 19, 2021 286   SE Louisiana W 77-54 95%     11 - 0 +13.3 +3.3 +12.1
  Dec 21, 2021 340   Chicago St. W 79-48 98%     12 - 0 +16.6 -2.7 +18.9
  Jan 01, 2022 6   Baylor L 72-77 28%     12 - 1 0 - 1 +10.6 +2.4 +8.4
  Jan 05, 2022 9   Texas Tech W 51-47 29%     13 - 1 1 - 1 +19.1 -6.7 +26.1
  Jan 08, 2022 29   @ Oklahoma L 66-79 33%     13 - 2 1 - 2 +1.0 +8.1 -8.6
  Jan 11, 2022 4   @ Kansas L 61-62 15%     13 - 3 1 - 3 +19.3 +3.0 +16.2
  Jan 15, 2022 18   Texas W 79-70 41%     14 - 3 2 - 3 +20.7 +13.9 +6.9
  Jan 18, 2022 9   @ Texas Tech L 60-72 17%     14 - 4 2 - 4 +7.6 +2.3 +5.0
  Jan 22, 2022 39   TCU L 44-59 53%     14 - 5 2 - 5 -6.4 -19.7 +12.1
  Jan 26, 2022 36   @ Oklahoma St. W 84-81 OT 36%     15 - 5 3 - 5 +16.2 +19.5 -3.4
  Jan 29, 2022 113   Missouri W 67-50 78%     16 - 5 +18.4 +3.8 +16.8
  Feb 01, 2022 4   Kansas L 61-70 27%     16 - 6 3 - 6 +6.9 -7.4 +14.5
  Feb 05, 2022 18   @ Texas L 41-63 26%     16 - 7 3 - 7 -5.8 -18.5 +10.3
  Feb 08, 2022 69   @ West Virginia L 63-79 46%     16 - 8 3 - 8 -5.5 -5.9 +0.7
  Feb 12, 2022 62   Kansas St. L 69-75 OT 61%     16 - 9 3 - 9 +0.6 -2.2 +2.9
  Feb 15, 2022 39   @ TCU W 54-51 36%     17 - 9 4 - 9 +16.0 -0.7 +17.3
  Feb 19, 2022 29   Oklahoma W 75-54 49%     18 - 9 5 - 9 +30.6 +23.8 +11.4
  Feb 23, 2022 69   West Virginia W 84-81 63%     19 - 9 6 - 9 +9.0 +16.7 -7.6
  Feb 26, 2022 62   @ Kansas St. W 74-73 44%     20 - 9 7 - 9 +12.0 +2.4 +9.6
  Mar 02, 2022 36   Oklahoma St. L 36-53 53%     20 - 10 7 - 10 -8.3 -24.0 +14.0
  Mar 05, 2022 6   @ Baylor L 68-75 16%     20 - 11 7 - 11 +13.0 +8.6 +3.9
  Mar 10, 2022 9   Texas Tech L 41-72 23%     20 - 12 -13.6 -18.2 +4.0
Projected Record 20 - 12 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 87.9% 87.9% 9.7 0.0 0.3 6.6 25.7 38.3 16.8 0.2 12.1 87.9%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 87.9% 0.0% 87.9% 9.7 0.0 0.3 6.6 25.7 38.3 16.8 0.2 12.1 87.9%