Pre-tourney Rankings
Loyola Chicago
Missouri Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#31
Expected Predictive Rating+11.6#39
Pace63.3#313
Improvement-2.0#261

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#60
First Shot+5.8#35
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#280
Layup/Dunks+4.3#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#22
Freethrows-0.2#190
Improvement-4.9#351

Defense
Total Defense+7.0#22
First Shot+4.7#44
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#22
Layups/Dunks+1.9#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#48
Freethrows+1.1#94
Improvement+2.9#53
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round48.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen14.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.6% n/a n/a
Final Four1.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b2 - 13 - 2
Quad 26 - 49 - 6
Quad 36 - 115 - 7
Quad 49 - 024 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 319   Coppin St. W 103-45 98%     1 - 0 +45.8 +18.0 +22.1
  Nov 13, 2021 205   Florida Gulf Coast W 89-77 92%     2 - 0 +7.6 +10.0 -2.7
  Nov 16, 2021 340   Chicago St. W 92-56 98%     3 - 0 +21.6 +8.4 +12.1
  Nov 20, 2021 276   Illinois-Chicago W 80-63 96%     4 - 0 +8.2 +10.4 -0.3
  Nov 24, 2021 32   Michigan St. L 61-63 50%     4 - 1 +9.5 -6.0 +15.5
  Nov 25, 2021 11   Auburn L 53-62 30%     4 - 2 +8.2 -4.1 +11.3
  Nov 26, 2021 83   Arizona St. W 77-59 68%     5 - 2 +24.9 +21.0 +6.1
  Dec 01, 2021 223   Indiana St. W 88-76 93%     6 - 2 1 - 0 +6.7 +17.1 -10.0
  Dec 04, 2021 90   @ DePaul W 68-64 62%     7 - 2 +12.5 +0.0 +12.5
  Dec 10, 2021 60   @ Vanderbilt W 69-58 52%     8 - 2 +22.2 +15.5 +8.6
  Jan 06, 2022 21   San Francisco W 79-74 45%     9 - 2 +17.8 +19.1 -0.9
  Jan 08, 2022 98   Bradley W 78-71 OT 79%     10 - 2 2 - 0 +10.3 +2.8 +7.1
  Jan 11, 2022 185   Valparaiso W 81-74 2OT 91%     11 - 2 3 - 0 +3.8 +0.0 +3.2
  Jan 15, 2022 223   @ Indiana St. W 64-56 87%     12 - 2 4 - 0 +7.2 -8.2 +15.2
  Jan 18, 2022 302   @ Evansville W 77-48 94%     13 - 2 5 - 0 +22.7 +17.4 +10.8
  Jan 22, 2022 75   Missouri St. L 69-79 72%     13 - 3 5 - 1 -4.3 +6.1 -11.9
  Jan 25, 2022 124   Southern Illinois W 59-47 85%     14 - 3 6 - 1 +12.7 -2.6 +17.2
  Jan 27, 2022 124   @ Southern Illinois W 44-39 74%     15 - 3 7 - 1 +10.1 -14.5 +25.7
  Jan 30, 2022 87   @ Drake L 68-77 62%     15 - 4 7 - 2 -0.4 -0.8 +0.4
  Feb 02, 2022 178   Illinois St. W 78-64 91%     16 - 4 8 - 2 +11.2 +4.4 +7.2
  Feb 06, 2022 75   @ Missouri St. W 71-62 56%     17 - 4 9 - 2 +19.1 +9.2 +11.0
  Feb 09, 2022 98   @ Bradley L 61-68 65%     17 - 5 9 - 3 +0.7 +1.4 -1.6
  Feb 13, 2022 95   Northern Iowa W 85-58 78%     18 - 5 10 - 3 +30.5 +19.9 +13.2
  Feb 16, 2022 185   @ Valparaiso W 71-69 84%     19 - 5 11 - 3 +3.2 +5.7 -2.3
  Feb 19, 2022 87   Drake L 76-83 76%     19 - 6 11 - 4 -2.8 +3.9 -6.6
  Feb 21, 2022 178   @ Illinois St. W 59-50 83%     20 - 6 12 - 4 +10.6 -12.9 +23.7
  Feb 23, 2022 302   Evansville W 82-31 97%     21 - 6 13 - 4 +40.3 +20.2 +29.1
  Feb 26, 2022 95   @ Northern Iowa L 96-102 OT 64%     21 - 7 13 - 5 +1.9 +13.8 -11.1
  Mar 04, 2022 98   Bradley W 66-50 72%     22 - 7 +21.5 +2.9 +20.0
  Mar 05, 2022 95   Northern Iowa W 66-43 72%     23 - 7 +28.7 -1.8 +32.0
  Mar 06, 2022 87   Drake W 64-58 69%     24 - 7 +12.4 -5.4 +17.8
Projected Record 24 - 7 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 10.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.1 17.6 42.7 30.7 1.8
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 10.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 6.1 17.6 42.7 30.7 1.8