Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#75
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#89
Pace68.0#186
Improvement+0.0#178

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#26
First Shot+6.4#26
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#133
Layup/Dunks-2.8#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#8
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#94
Freethrows+1.1#94
Improvement+0.6#157

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#142
First Shot+1.0#143
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#175
Layups/Dunks+3.7#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#40
Freethrows-0.4#221
Improvement-0.6#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 2
Quad 24 - 35 - 5
Quad 37 - 412 - 9
Quad 410 - 122 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 245   Southeast Missouri St. L 94-99 91%     0 - 1 -11.9 +6.2 -17.6
  Nov 13, 2021 333   Alabama St. W 78-60 96%     1 - 1 +4.9 -5.9 +9.9
  Nov 17, 2021 145   @ Sam Houston St. W 77-55 67%     2 - 1 +25.5 +12.1 +14.5
  Nov 22, 2021 148   Long Beach St. W 92-66 74%     3 - 1 +27.2 +17.3 +9.1
  Nov 23, 2021 194   East Tennessee St. L 76-77 81%     3 - 2 -2.6 +10.3 -13.0
  Nov 24, 2021 212   George Washington W 72-54 84%     4 - 2 +15.5 -0.6 +16.3
  Dec 01, 2021 178   @ Illinois St. L 74-79 OT 73%     4 - 3 0 - 1 -3.4 -6.3 +3.4
  Dec 04, 2021 61   BYU L 68-74 55%     4 - 4 +0.7 -1.8 +2.5
  Dec 08, 2021 317   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 81-55 92%     5 - 4 +18.2 +9.1 +11.0
  Dec 11, 2021 160   Oral Roberts W 69-60 82%     6 - 4 +7.1 -11.0 +17.8
  Dec 15, 2021 79   South Dakota St. W 75-63 61%     7 - 4 +17.1 -3.4 +20.1
  Dec 18, 2021 316   Central Arkansas W 106-70 96%     8 - 4 +23.9 +26.0 -1.8
  Dec 22, 2021 20   @ St. Mary's L 58-75 23%     8 - 5 -1.4 +1.0 -4.0
  Jan 02, 2022 87   Drake W 61-56 64%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +9.2 -3.8 +13.5
  Jan 05, 2022 98   @ Bradley W 71-69 51%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +9.7 +9.4 +0.5
  Jan 08, 2022 95   Northern Iowa L 84-85 67%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +2.5 +17.6 -15.2
  Jan 12, 2022 124   Southern Illinois W 81-76 76%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +5.7 +15.3 -9.3
  Jan 15, 2022 185   @ Valparaiso W 74-57 74%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +18.2 +7.7 +12.0
  Jan 19, 2022 178   Illinois St. W 88-63 84%     13 - 6 5 - 2 +22.2 +15.0 +8.0
  Jan 22, 2022 31   @ Loyola Chicago W 79-69 28%     14 - 6 6 - 2 +23.8 +25.8 -0.5
  Jan 25, 2022 223   @ Indiana St. L 72-76 80%     14 - 7 6 - 3 -4.8 -5.3 +0.8
  Jan 29, 2022 302   Evansville W 72-58 95%     15 - 7 7 - 3 +3.3 -1.4 +5.3
  Feb 02, 2022 124   @ Southern Illinois W 69-54 61%     16 - 7 8 - 3 +20.1 +8.6 +13.3
  Feb 06, 2022 31   Loyola Chicago L 62-71 44%     16 - 8 8 - 4 +0.4 +2.9 -3.6
  Feb 09, 2022 87   @ Drake W 66-62 47%     17 - 8 9 - 4 +12.6 +1.9 +10.9
  Feb 12, 2022 185   Valparaiso W 84-66 85%     18 - 8 10 - 4 +14.8 +16.0 +0.3
  Feb 15, 2022 223   Indiana St. W 79-70 89%     19 - 8 11 - 4 +3.7 +4.7 -1.0
  Feb 20, 2022 95   @ Northern Iowa L 75-95 50%     19 - 9 11 - 5 -12.1 +5.0 -17.3
  Feb 23, 2022 98   Bradley W 83-67 67%     20 - 9 12 - 5 +19.3 +12.1 +7.0
  Feb 26, 2022 302   @ Evansville W 88-79 90%     21 - 9 13 - 5 +2.7 +11.9 -9.4
  Mar 04, 2022 185   Valparaiso W 67-58 80%     22 - 9 +8.0 -5.6 +13.8
  Mar 05, 2022 87   Drake L 78-79 OT 56%     22 - 10 +5.4 +6.2 -0.8
Projected Record 22 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 0.3% 0.3% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 99.7 0.3%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 99.7 0.3%