Pre-tourney Rankings
Montana St.
Big Sky
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#140
Expected Predictive Rating+4.3#107
Pace68.1#182
Improvement+3.0#77

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#151
First Shot+1.7#124
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#250
Layup/Dunks-2.8#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#102
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#140
Freethrows+2.2#30
Improvement+1.3#112

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#141
First Shot+1.2#133
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#194
Layups/Dunks+1.6#118
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#31
Freethrows-1.2#273
Improvement+1.7#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round8.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 35 - 35 - 5
Quad 420 - 225 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 57   @ Colorado L 90-94 OT 18%     0 - 1 +7.6 +15.2 -7.3
  Nov 17, 2021 79   @ South Dakota St. L 74-91 23%     0 - 2 -7.5 -1.7 -5.2
  Nov 20, 2021 155   @ New Mexico L 78-81 46%     0 - 3 -0.1 +1.6 -1.6
  Nov 26, 2021 169   Portland W 69-66 59%     1 - 3 +2.7 +6.5 -3.3
  Nov 27, 2021 353   @ Incarnate Word W 83-64 92%     2 - 3 +5.3 +5.3 +0.9
  Nov 28, 2021 245   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-68 74%     3 - 3 +2.3 -9.9 +11.6
  Dec 02, 2021 211   @ Northern Colorado L 75-77 OT 59%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -2.3 -11.5 +9.5
  Dec 04, 2021 303   @ Sacramento St. W 68-66 79%     4 - 4 1 - 1 -4.3 -1.4 -2.8
  Dec 07, 2021 149   North Dakota St. W 68-49 62%     5 - 4 +17.9 -1.0 +20.0
  Dec 11, 2021 312   @ St. Thomas W 72-65 81%     6 - 4 -0.4 -13.5 +12.8
  Dec 19, 2021 169   Portland W 61-59 67%     7 - 4 -0.5 -12.7 +12.2
  Dec 30, 2021 170   Weber St. L 75-85 67%     7 - 5 1 - 2 -12.5 -2.6 -9.5
  Jan 01, 2022 327   Idaho St. W 60-40 91%     8 - 5 2 - 2 +7.2 -14.8 +23.5
  Jan 06, 2022 321   @ Idaho W 92-72 82%     9 - 5 3 - 2 +12.1 +8.3 +2.8
  Jan 09, 2022 236   Montana W 66-59 78%     10 - 5 4 - 2 +0.9 -0.5 +2.4
  Jan 20, 2022 330   @ Northern Arizona W 89-84 84%     11 - 5 5 - 2 -3.6 +15.0 -18.3
  Jan 22, 2022 244   @ Portland St. W 73-60 66%     12 - 5 6 - 2 +10.6 +2.6 +8.3
  Jan 27, 2022 219   Eastern Washington W 69-65 75%     13 - 5 7 - 2 -1.1 -9.5 +8.4
  Jan 29, 2022 321   Idaho W 70-64 90%     14 - 5 8 - 2 -6.3 -12.3 +5.9
  Feb 05, 2022 170   @ Weber St. W 78-57 50%     15 - 5 9 - 2 +22.9 +9.3 +14.6
  Feb 07, 2022 327   @ Idaho St. W 72-54 83%     16 - 5 10 - 2 +9.7 +10.8 +2.9
  Feb 10, 2022 244   Portland St. W 77-74 80%     17 - 5 11 - 2 -3.9 +3.6 -7.5
  Feb 12, 2022 330   Northern Arizona W 72-70 91%     18 - 5 12 - 2 -11.0 -2.3 -8.6
  Feb 17, 2022 219   @ Eastern Washington L 86-88 OT 60%     18 - 6 12 - 3 -2.6 +2.1 -4.5
  Feb 19, 2022 167   @ Southern Utah W 76-71 49%     19 - 6 13 - 3 +7.2 +1.7 +5.4
  Feb 27, 2022 236   @ Montana L 74-80 64%     19 - 7 13 - 4 -7.7 +0.2 -7.9
  Mar 01, 2022 167   Southern Utah W 69-53 66%     20 - 7 14 - 4 +13.7 -5.2 +19.4
  Mar 03, 2022 303   Sacramento St. W 75-69 88%     21 - 7 15 - 4 -4.8 -1.7 -3.0
  Mar 05, 2022 211   Northern Colorado W 87-85 74%     22 - 7 16 - 4 -2.7 -1.2 -1.7
  Mar 10, 2022 303   Sacramento St. W 83-61 84%     23 - 7 +13.4 +11.9 +3.0
  Mar 11, 2022 170   Weber St. W 69-66 59%     24 - 7 +2.7 -1.3 +4.2
  Mar 12, 2022 211   Northern Colorado W 87-66 67%     25 - 7 +18.5 +6.4 +11.6
Projected Record 25 - 7 16 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.6 42.3 55.0 2.7
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.6 42.3 55.0 2.7