Pre-tourney Rankings
Navy
Patriot League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#197
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#166
Pace63.4#311
Improvement-6.2#345

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#319
First Shot-6.8#340
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#76
Layup/Dunks-3.5#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#71
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#304
Freethrows-1.3#291
Improvement-4.7#348

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#76
First Shot+3.5#72
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#153
Layups/Dunks-1.0#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#29
Freethrows-0.7#244
Improvement-1.4#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 42 - 5
Quad 32 - 24 - 7
Quad 416 - 420 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 77   @ Virginia W 66-58 14%     1 - 0 +18.0 +4.8 +13.9
  Nov 12, 2021 22   Virginia Tech L 57-77 14%     1 - 1 -9.8 -6.6 -5.3
  Nov 15, 2021 119   @ Louisville L 60-77 25%     1 - 2 -11.6 -8.5 -3.2
  Nov 20, 2021 287   Radford W 47-33 71%     2 - 2 +6.5 -25.1 +32.6
  Nov 21, 2021 88   @ Furman W 77-66 17%     3 - 2 +19.5 +6.5 +13.2
  Nov 27, 2021 250   @ Mount St. Mary's W 67-40 54%     4 - 2 +24.3 -0.1 +26.2
  Dec 01, 2021 338   William & Mary W 75-56 87%     5 - 2 +5.1 +4.8 +2.0
  Dec 07, 2021 118   @ George Mason L 65-71 25%     5 - 3 -0.6 +0.7 -1.8
  Dec 12, 2021 225   @ Marist W 67-61 47%     6 - 3 +5.0 -0.8 +6.3
  Dec 22, 2021 89   Towson L 52-69 29%     6 - 4 -12.9 -13.7 -1.2
  Jan 01, 2022 344   @ Holy Cross W 70-56 80%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +3.3 -1.2 +5.7
  Jan 04, 2022 218   Boston University W 83-71 62%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +7.0 +10.4 -2.5
  Jan 07, 2022 336   Bucknell W 73-55 87%     9 - 4 3 - 0 +4.3 -6.4 +11.8
  Jan 10, 2022 310   @ Lafayette W 69-55 71%     10 - 4 4 - 0 +6.6 +2.0 +6.8
  Jan 13, 2022 125   Colgate L 50-69 41%     10 - 5 4 - 1 -18.5 -20.3 +0.1
  Jan 16, 2022 218   @ Boston University W 72-65 46%     11 - 5 5 - 1 +6.4 +3.4 +3.8
  Jan 19, 2022 290   Lehigh L 61-69 78%     11 - 6 5 - 2 -17.9 -16.7 -1.4
  Jan 22, 2022 289   Army L 73-74 OT 78%     11 - 7 5 - 3 -10.9 -4.5 -6.4
  Jan 26, 2022 336   @ Bucknell W 81-63 76%     12 - 7 6 - 3 +8.8 +3.0 +6.5
  Jan 29, 2022 328   American W 47-45 85%     13 - 7 7 - 3 -10.9 -25.7 +15.0
  Feb 02, 2022 290   @ Lehigh L 62-63 64%     13 - 8 7 - 4 -6.5 -10.5 +3.9
  Feb 05, 2022 271   @ Loyola Maryland W 56-55 59%     14 - 8 8 - 4 -3.1 -3.6 +0.8
  Feb 07, 2022 310   Lafayette W 68-44 83%     15 - 8 9 - 4 +12.2 -2.2 +17.9
  Feb 12, 2022 289   @ Army W 52-49 64%     16 - 8 10 - 4 -2.5 -14.7 +12.7
  Feb 16, 2022 328   @ American W 55-46 74%     17 - 8 11 - 4 +0.5 -16.7 +18.0
  Feb 19, 2022 344   Holy Cross L 50-55 89%     17 - 9 11 - 5 -20.1 -27.7 +7.4
  Feb 23, 2022 271   Loyola Maryland W 52-50 74%     18 - 9 12 - 5 -6.5 -12.4 +6.3
  Feb 26, 2022 125   @ Colgate L 69-74 26%     18 - 10 12 - 6 -0.1 -3.1 +3.0
  Mar 03, 2022 328   American W 71-64 85%     19 - 10 -5.9 -5.4 -0.3
  Mar 06, 2022 218   Boston University W 85-80 OT 62%     20 - 10 +0.0 +7.1 -7.1
  Mar 09, 2022 125   @ Colgate L 58-74 26%     20 - 11 -11.1 -11.6 -0.2
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%