Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#149
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#134
Pace66.4#224
Improvement+5.9#18

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#177
First Shot-0.5#199
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#131
Layup/Dunks-3.0#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#127
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#169
Freethrows+1.5#65
Improvement+2.2#71

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#140
First Shot-0.7#200
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#40
Layups/Dunks-2.9#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#26
Freethrows-0.1#198
Improvement+3.7#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 35 - 15 - 8
Quad 416 - 221 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 297   @ Cal Poly W 60-57 75%     1 - 0 -2.9 -6.2 +3.7
  Nov 15, 2021 86   @ UNLV L 62-64 23%     1 - 1 +6.7 -2.7 +9.2
  Nov 16, 2021 2   @ Arizona L 45-97 4%     1 - 2 -29.9 -19.9 -9.0
  Nov 22, 2021 216   Tarleton St. W 54-53 72%     2 - 2 -3.8 -7.9 +4.3
  Nov 27, 2021 321   Idaho W 90-73 89%     3 - 2 +4.7 +1.8 +1.6
  Nov 30, 2021 43   @ Creighton L 55-80 14%     3 - 3 -12.3 +0.2 -16.3
  Dec 07, 2021 140   @ Montana St. L 49-68 38%     3 - 4 -14.8 -18.9 +3.0
  Dec 10, 2021 322   Cal St. Northridge W 68-54 89%     4 - 4 +1.7 -7.5 +9.9
  Dec 13, 2021 223   Indiana St. W 77-70 73%     5 - 4 +1.7 +6.4 -4.4
  Dec 17, 2021 277   @ Pacific W 73-61 70%     6 - 4 +7.6 -1.8 +9.1
  Dec 22, 2021 345   North Dakota W 86-76 93%     7 - 4 1 - 0 -5.2 +4.7 -9.8
  Dec 30, 2021 79   South Dakota St. L 86-90 35%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +1.1 +15.7 -14.8
  Jan 08, 2022 346   @ Nebraska Omaha W 71-67 86%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -6.8 -18.6 +11.3
  Jan 10, 2022 295   @ Denver W 87-69 74%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +12.3 +10.3 +2.2
  Jan 15, 2022 242   Western Illinois L 79-90 OT 77%     9 - 6 3 - 2 -17.7 -8.8 -7.4
  Jan 20, 2022 217   @ UMKC L 77-80 56%     9 - 7 3 - 3 -3.5 +2.4 -5.8
  Jan 22, 2022 160   @ Oral Roberts W 72-71 44%     10 - 7 4 - 3 +3.5 -6.8 +10.3
  Jan 25, 2022 312   St. Thomas W 77-56 88%     11 - 7 5 - 3 +9.1 -2.4 +13.0
  Jan 27, 2022 202   @ South Dakota W 74-62 OT 53%     12 - 7 6 - 3 +12.3 -1.3 +13.6
  Jan 29, 2022 79   @ South Dakota St. L 76-80 21%     12 - 8 6 - 4 +5.5 -2.6 +8.4
  Feb 03, 2022 346   Nebraska Omaha W 71-64 93%     13 - 8 7 - 4 -8.2 -12.4 +4.1
  Feb 05, 2022 295   Denver W 73-65 85%     14 - 8 8 - 4 -2.2 -2.2 +0.6
  Feb 07, 2022 202   South Dakota W 76-74 69%     15 - 8 9 - 4 -2.1 +8.8 -10.7
  Feb 10, 2022 242   @ Western Illinois W 84-81 2OT 63%     16 - 8 10 - 4 +0.7 -2.4 +2.7
  Feb 12, 2022 312   @ St. Thomas W 75-64 79%     17 - 8 11 - 4 +3.6 -4.7 +8.7
  Feb 17, 2022 160   Oral Roberts W 77-59 61%     18 - 8 12 - 4 +16.1 +6.5 +11.5
  Feb 19, 2022 217   UMKC L 71-85 72%     18 - 9 12 - 5 -18.9 -1.0 -18.5
  Feb 26, 2022 345   @ North Dakota W 79-53 86%     19 - 9 13 - 5 +15.2 +1.6 +14.6
  Mar 05, 2022 295   Denver W 82-62 80%     20 - 9 +12.1 +3.4 +8.7
  Mar 07, 2022 160   Oral Roberts W 92-72 53%     21 - 9 +20.3 +13.5 +6.5
  Mar 08, 2022 79   South Dakota St. L 69-75 27%     21 - 10 +1.3 -4.0 +5.2
Projected Record 21 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%