Pre-tourney Rankings
Tarleton St.
Western Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#216
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#226
Pace60.6#341
Improvement-2.7#284

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#246
First Shot-3.8#288
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#78
Layup/Dunks+1.0#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#311
Freethrows-0.3#198
Improvement+0.5#161

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#177
First Shot+0.3#168
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#214
Layups/Dunks+1.1#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#282
Freethrows-0.7#249
Improvement-3.1#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 60 - 9
Quad 33 - 63 - 15
Quad 48 - 211 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 97   @ Stanford L 50-62 16%     0 - 1 -4.2 -10.3 +4.2
  Nov 12, 2021 4   @ Kansas L 62-88 3%     0 - 2 -5.7 +0.7 -7.9
  Nov 16, 2021 92   @ Wichita St. L 51-65 16%     0 - 3 -5.8 -12.6 +5.9
  Nov 22, 2021 149   @ North Dakota St. L 53-54 28%     0 - 4 +2.3 -5.8 +7.9
  Nov 24, 2021 24   @ Michigan L 54-65 7%     0 - 5 +3.4 -8.1 +10.2
  Nov 29, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 55-64 1%     0 - 6 +17.1 -1.9 +18.4
  Dec 05, 2021 350   Charleston Southern L 57-59 90%     0 - 7 -18.7 -19.9 +1.1
  Dec 14, 2021 152   @ South Alabama L 62-69 29%     0 - 8 -3.9 -10.0 +6.3
  Dec 17, 2021 152   South Alabama W 65-52 45%     1 - 8 +11.7 -0.5 +13.8
  Dec 21, 2021 249   Air Force W 67-45 67%     2 - 8 +14.9 +7.4 +12.3
  Dec 30, 2021 280   @ Dixie St. W 83-69 58%     3 - 8 1 - 0 +9.3 +13.6 -3.6
  Jan 01, 2022 133   @ Utah Valley L 55-77 25%     3 - 9 1 - 1 -17.6 -12.1 -6.2
  Jan 06, 2022 145   Sam Houston St. W 75-64 43%     4 - 9 2 - 1 +10.1 +8.4 +2.3
  Jan 08, 2022 117   Stephen F. Austin W 77-71 OT 36%     5 - 9 3 - 1 +7.0 +0.8 +5.8
  Jan 13, 2022 85   @ New Mexico St. L 57-73 14%     5 - 10 3 - 2 -7.0 -10.2 +2.9
  Jan 15, 2022 103   @ Grand Canyon L 59-80 18%     5 - 11 3 - 3 -13.8 -7.4 -6.8
  Jan 20, 2022 226   California Baptist L 84-88 61%     5 - 12 3 - 4 -9.5 +6.6 -15.9
  Jan 22, 2022 141   Seattle L 68-76 41%     5 - 13 3 - 5 -8.3 -9.5 +2.1
  Jan 26, 2022 347   @ Lamar W 62-57 80%     6 - 13 4 - 5 -6.3 -7.1 +1.4
  Jan 29, 2022 305   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 79-64 65%     7 - 13 5 - 5 +8.5 +8.7 +1.2
  Feb 05, 2022 340   Chicago St. W 57-54 86%     8 - 13 6 - 5 -11.4 -16.3 +5.3
  Feb 12, 2022 132   Abilene Christian L 63-77 40%     8 - 14 6 - 6 -13.9 -0.1 -15.8
  Feb 16, 2022 133   Utah Valley L 56-69 40%     8 - 15 6 - 7 -13.0 -10.2 -3.9
  Feb 19, 2022 340   @ Chicago St. W 79-60 76%     9 - 15 7 - 7 +9.0 +10.6 +0.8
  Feb 24, 2022 305   UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-62 79%     10 - 15 8 - 7 +2.1 +8.1 -3.7
  Feb 26, 2022 347   Lamar W 57-49 89%     11 - 15 9 - 7 -7.7 -13.8 +7.3
  Mar 03, 2022 145   @ Sam Houston St. L 50-69 28%     11 - 16 9 - 8 -15.5 -9.3 -9.8
  Mar 05, 2022 132   @ Abilene Christian L 56-61 25%     11 - 17 9 - 9 -0.5 -7.4 +6.3
Projected Record 11 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%