Pre-tourney Rankings
Grand Canyon
Western Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#103
Expected Predictive Rating+5.2#102
Pace64.3#286
Improvement+1.3#124

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#152
First Shot-1.3#223
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#37
Layup/Dunks+0.8#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#129
Freethrows-2.4#332
Improvement+0.8#140

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#69
First Shot+3.3#74
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#106
Layups/Dunks+1.1#139
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#9
Freethrows-0.7#245
Improvement+0.5#158
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 01 - 0
Quad 21 - 52 - 5
Quad 37 - 29 - 7
Quad 412 - 121 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 318   Grambling St. W 74-53 94%     1 - 0 +8.8 -0.2 +9.8
  Nov 12, 2021 266   North Florida W 65-51 89%     2 - 0 +5.8 -2.1 +9.8
  Nov 17, 2021 300   Prairie View W 91-64 92%     3 - 0 +16.6 +16.8 +0.7
  Nov 22, 2021 74   Wyoming L 61-68 47%     3 - 1 -1.2 -2.1 +0.1
  Nov 27, 2021 265   @ Pepperdine W 59-56 80%     4 - 1 -0.8 -13.1 +12.5
  Nov 29, 2021 183   @ Loyola Marymount W 78-72 64%     5 - 1 +7.3 +6.8 +0.7
  Dec 02, 2021 293   Texas San Antonio W 74-71 91%     6 - 1 -7.1 -1.3 -5.8
  Dec 04, 2021 356   Mississippi Valley W 91-44 98%     7 - 1 +27.2 +7.7 +19.6
  Dec 09, 2021 83   @ Arizona St. L 62-67 34%     7 - 2 +4.1 -3.0 +7.2
  Dec 18, 2021 21   San Francisco W 49-48 23%     8 - 2 +13.8 -10.4 +24.3
  Dec 30, 2021 340   Chicago St. W 80-63 95%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +2.6 +0.9 +2.0
  Jan 06, 2022 305   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 84-70 86%     10 - 2 2 - 0 +7.5 +6.5 +1.0
  Jan 13, 2022 132   Abilene Christian W 95-68 68%     11 - 2 3 - 0 +27.1 +23.6 +3.6
  Jan 15, 2022 216   Tarleton St. W 80-59 82%     12 - 2 4 - 0 +16.2 +7.6 +9.0
  Jan 20, 2022 117   @ Stephen F. Austin L 46-71 48%     12 - 3 4 - 1 -19.6 -21.6 +1.4
  Jan 22, 2022 145   @ Sam Houston St. L 56-58 56%     12 - 4 4 - 2 +1.5 -5.0 +6.2
  Jan 29, 2022 85   @ New Mexico St. L 61-71 35%     12 - 5 4 - 3 -1.0 -9.9 +9.4
  Feb 03, 2022 141   Seattle W 78-66 69%     13 - 5 5 - 3 +11.7 +11.2 +1.0
  Feb 05, 2022 226   California Baptist W 56-50 84%     14 - 5 6 - 3 +0.5 -15.5 +16.4
  Feb 10, 2022 133   @ Utah Valley W 79-69 52%     15 - 5 7 - 3 +14.4 +10.3 +4.1
  Feb 12, 2022 280   @ Dixie St. L 60-61 82%     15 - 6 7 - 4 -5.7 -12.8 +7.2
  Feb 16, 2022 226   @ California Baptist W 65-60 72%     16 - 6 8 - 4 +3.9 -3.7 +7.9
  Feb 19, 2022 85   New Mexico St. L 66-82 52%     16 - 7 8 - 5 -11.4 -1.8 -10.3
  Feb 23, 2022 340   @ Chicago St. W 85-64 OT 91%     17 - 7 9 - 5 +11.0 +8.2 +3.2
  Feb 26, 2022 145   Sam Houston St. W 67-41 72%     18 - 7 10 - 5 +25.1 +7.2 +22.2
  Mar 03, 2022 133   Utah Valley W 68-57 69%     19 - 7 11 - 5 +11.0 +0.0 +11.4
  Mar 05, 2022 280   Dixie St. W 70-53 90%     20 - 7 12 - 5 +7.9 -6.7 +14.3
  Mar 10, 2022 145   Sam Houston St. W 71-66 64%     21 - 7 +6.3 +7.4 -0.7
  Mar 11, 2022 85   New Mexico St. L 70-75 43%     21 - 8 +1.8 +8.3 -7.1
Projected Record 21 - 8 12 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%