Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Athletic
2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
85 New Mexico St. 100.0%   12   23 - 6 13 - 4 23 - 6 13 - 4 +6.8      +3.2 92 +3.6 82 66.4 222 +9.2 60 +6.3 2
103 Grand Canyon 0.0%   21 - 8 12 - 5 21 - 8 12 - 5 +5.0      +0.9 152 +4.1 69 64.3 286 +5.2 102 +4.1 5
117 Stephen F. Austin 0.0%   18 - 9 14 - 4 18 - 9 14 - 4 +3.2      +0.3 170 +2.9 102 71.5 88 +4.1 109 +6.2 3
132 Abilene Christian 0.0%   19 - 10 11 - 7 19 - 10 11 - 7 +2.3      +0.1 176 +2.2 114 74.1 47 +3.2 121 +0.5 7
133 Utah Valley 0.0%   18 - 12 10 - 8 18 - 12 10 - 8 +2.2      -0.8 196 +3.0 99 65.5 252 +2.7 128 +0.4 8
141 Seattle 0.0%   21 - 9 14 - 4 21 - 9 14 - 4 +1.9      -2.2 234 +4.1 67 74.6 40 +3.0 124 +6.4 1
145 Sam Houston St. 0.0%   16 - 14 13 - 5 16 - 14 13 - 5 +1.3      -1.7 222 +2.9 100 63.7 306 +0.7 156 +4.6 4
216 Tarleton St. 0.0%   11 - 17 9 - 9 11 - 17 9 - 9 -2.6      -2.5 246 -0.1 177 60.6 341 -3.7 226 -2.7 9
226 California Baptist 0.0%   15 - 15 7 - 11 15 - 15 7 - 11 -3.3      -2.7 254 -0.6 195 69.3 138 -3.6 223 -5.7 11
280 Dixie St. 0.0%   9 - 18 6 - 12 9 - 18 6 - 12 -6.9      -5.3 314 -1.6 221 77.7 15 -5.2 253 -4.6 10
305 UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0%   6 - 23 3 - 15 6 - 23 3 - 15 -8.7      -2.7 251 -6.1 332 77.8 13 -10.6 324 -12.2 13
340 Chicago St. 0.0%   7 - 25 3 - 15 7 - 25 3 - 15 -12.2      -5.2 312 -7.0 341 65.9 245 -10.2 321 -10.3 12
347 Lamar 0.0%   0 - 27 0 - 16 0 - 27 0 - 16 -13.5      -7.8 346 -5.8 325 66.5 218 -25.5 357 -23.0 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
New Mexico St. 3.0 100.0
Grand Canyon 5.0 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 1.0 100.0
Abilene Christian 6.0 100.0
Utah Valley 7.0 100.0
Seattle 1.0 100.0
Sam Houston St. 3.0 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 1.0 100.0
Tarleton St. 8.0 100.0
California Baptist 9.0 100.0
Dixie St. 10.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 11.0 100.0
Chicago St. 11.0 100.0
Lamar 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
New Mexico St. 13 - 5 100.0
Grand Canyon 12 - 6 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 14 - 4 100.0
Abilene Christian 11 - 7 100.0
Utah Valley 10 - 8 100.0
Seattle 14 - 4 100.0
Sam Houston St. 13 - 5 100.0
Stephen F. Austin 14 - 4 100.0
Tarleton St. 9 - 9 100.0
California Baptist 7 - 11 100.0
Dixie St. 6 - 12 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 3 - 15 100.0
Chicago St. 3 - 15 100.0
Lamar 0 - 18 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
New Mexico St.
Grand Canyon
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 100.0
Abilene Christian
Utah Valley
Seattle 100.0% 100.0
Sam Houston St.
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 100.0
Tarleton St.
California Baptist
Dixie St.
UT Rio Grande Valley
Chicago St.
Lamar


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
New Mexico St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.1 3.7 81.7 14.6
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tarleton St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
California Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Dixie St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
New Mexico St. 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 24.6% 6.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Canyon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Abilene Christian 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Seattle 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Houston St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tarleton St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
California Baptist 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dixie St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chicago St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 24.6% 0.2 75.4 24.6
Sweet Sixteen 6.5% 0.1 93.5 6.5
Elite Eight 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Final Four 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0