Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Arizona
Big Sky
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#330
Expected Predictive Rating-10.7#326
Pace64.3#285
Improvement-2.0#257

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#295
First Shot-4.8#309
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#159
Layup/Dunks-7.6#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#165
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#48
Freethrows-1.2#287
Improvement-2.0#278

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#335
First Shot-6.0#342
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#189
Layups/Dunks-3.1#296
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#222
Freethrows-0.8#252
Improvement+0.0#188
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 70 - 11
Quad 47 - 127 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 2   @ Arizona L 52-81 1%     0 - 1 -6.9 -12.2 +5.4
  Nov 11, 2021 101   @ Washington L 62-73 6%     0 - 2 -3.6 -11.6 +8.9
  Nov 18, 2021 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 74-64 40%     1 - 2 +1.9 -1.7 +3.7
  Nov 20, 2021 305   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 89-87 34%     2 - 2 -4.5 +2.5 -7.1
  Nov 22, 2021 305   UT Rio Grande Valley L 80-82 51%     2 - 3 -12.9 +2.7 -15.6
  Nov 24, 2021 151   Cal St. Fullerton L 56-73 18%     2 - 4 -18.2 -11.0 -9.3
  Dec 02, 2021 170   @ Weber St. L 44-67 12%     2 - 5 0 - 1 -21.1 -30.6 +10.8
  Dec 04, 2021 327   @ Idaho St. W 73-70 41%     3 - 5 1 - 1 -5.3 +2.9 -7.9
  Dec 11, 2021 202   @ South Dakota L 71-76 OT 15%     3 - 6 -4.7 -8.0 +3.6
  Dec 18, 2021 208   San Diego L 59-69 21%     3 - 7 -12.3 -10.0 -2.7
  Dec 20, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 49-95 0.3%    3 - 8 -19.9 -13.0 -6.1
  Jan 01, 2022 219   Eastern Washington L 65-78 29%     3 - 9 1 - 2 -18.1 -7.2 -11.9
  Jan 17, 2022 321   Idaho W 74-72 56%     4 - 9 2 - 2 -10.3 -9.1 -1.3
  Jan 20, 2022 140   Montana St. L 84-89 16%     4 - 10 2 - 3 -5.3 +14.7 -20.2
  Jan 22, 2022 236   Montana L 48-58 33%     4 - 11 2 - 4 -16.1 -23.7 +6.6
  Jan 24, 2022 303   Sacramento St. W 70-65 50%     5 - 11 3 - 4 -5.8 -5.6 +0.0
  Jan 29, 2022 244   Portland St. L 76-97 35%     5 - 12 3 - 5 -27.9 -0.3 -27.0
  Jan 31, 2022 167   @ Southern Utah L 66-78 12%     5 - 13 3 - 6 -9.8 -6.7 -3.4
  Feb 03, 2022 303   @ Sacramento St. W 62-61 33%     6 - 13 4 - 6 -5.3 -1.7 -3.5
  Feb 05, 2022 211   Northern Colorado L 71-74 28%     6 - 14 4 - 7 -7.7 -7.0 -0.7
  Feb 07, 2022 211   @ Northern Colorado L 60-82 16%     6 - 15 4 - 8 -22.3 -10.1 -14.8
  Feb 10, 2022 236   @ Montana W 72-67 OT 19%     7 - 15 5 - 8 +3.3 -3.0 +6.3
  Feb 12, 2022 140   @ Montana St. L 70-72 9%     7 - 16 5 - 9 +2.2 +5.0 -3.0
  Feb 17, 2022 244   @ Portland St. L 67-68 21%     7 - 17 5 - 10 -3.4 -6.1 +2.7
  Feb 21, 2022 167   Southern Utah L 48-79 21%     7 - 18 5 - 11 -33.3 -22.6 -14.4
  Feb 24, 2022 327   Idaho St. L 66-70 58%     7 - 19 5 - 12 -16.8 -5.7 -11.5
  Feb 26, 2022 170   Weber St. L 49-73 21%     7 - 20 5 - 13 -26.5 -16.5 -14.4
  Mar 03, 2022 219   @ Eastern Washington L 62-69 17%     7 - 21 5 - 14 -7.6 -10.6 +2.6
  Mar 05, 2022 321   @ Idaho L 69-78 39%     7 - 22 5 - 15 -16.9 -8.8 -8.3
  Mar 09, 2022 219   Eastern Washington L 75-78 22%     7 - 23 -5.8 +2.5 -8.5
Projected Record 7 - 23 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%