Pre-tourney Rankings
Portland St.
Big Sky
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#244
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#266
Pace75.1#34
Improvement+6.5#12

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#285
First Shot-3.6#278
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#237
Layup/Dunks+0.8#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#315
Freethrows+1.2#80
Improvement+5.3#7

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#187
First Shot+0.3#169
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#253
Layups/Dunks+0.7#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#177
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#189
Freethrows-0.2#207
Improvement+1.2#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 410 - 1012 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 204   @ Oregon St. L 64-73 32%     0 - 1 -8.7 -16.0 +7.9
  Nov 23, 2021 169   Portland L 54-69 42%     0 - 2 -17.5 -22.5 +5.6
  Nov 26, 2021 10   @ Iowa L 51-85 2%     0 - 3 -14.5 -20.7 +8.8
  Dec 02, 2021 327   @ Idaho St. W 63-55 64%     1 - 3 1 - 0 -0.3 -13.7 +13.4
  Dec 04, 2021 170   @ Weber St. L 69-80 26%     1 - 4 1 - 1 -9.1 -6.1 -2.5
  Dec 11, 2021 297   Cal Poly L 58-61 71%     1 - 5 -13.3 -16.8 +3.4
  Dec 18, 2021 322   @ Cal St. Northridge L 66-69 62%     1 - 6 -10.9 -10.3 -0.7
  Dec 21, 2021 58   @ Utah St. L 62-81 8%     1 - 7 -7.6 -4.8 -2.8
  Dec 30, 2021 219   Eastern Washington L 58-63 52%     1 - 8 1 - 2 -10.1 -19.4 +9.3
  Jan 15, 2022 303   @ Sacramento St. W 67-62 57%     2 - 8 2 - 2 -1.3 -2.5 +1.6
  Jan 17, 2022 167   @ Southern Utah L 76-86 26%     2 - 9 2 - 3 -7.8 +6.3 -14.8
  Jan 20, 2022 236   Montana L 64-66 56%     2 - 10 2 - 4 -8.1 -9.8 +1.6
  Jan 22, 2022 140   Montana St. L 60-73 34%     2 - 11 2 - 5 -13.3 -11.5 -2.1
  Jan 24, 2022 321   Idaho L 79-84 77%     2 - 12 2 - 6 -17.3 -4.9 -12.2
  Jan 27, 2022 167   Southern Utah L 82-85 OT 41%     2 - 13 2 - 7 -5.3 -9.0 +4.3
  Jan 29, 2022 330   @ Northern Arizona W 97-76 65%     3 - 13 3 - 7 +12.4 +16.7 -4.8
  Jan 31, 2022 211   Northern Colorado W 79-76 50%     4 - 13 4 - 7 -1.7 -3.3 +1.5
  Feb 03, 2022 211   @ Northern Colorado W 106-99 34%     5 - 13 5 - 7 +6.7 +14.9 -9.1
  Feb 05, 2022 303   Sacramento St. W 73-65 72%     6 - 13 6 - 7 -2.8 -3.6 +1.0
  Feb 10, 2022 140   @ Montana St. L 74-77 20%     6 - 14 6 - 8 +1.2 +4.3 -3.2
  Feb 12, 2022 236   @ Montana L 76-85 39%     6 - 15 6 - 9 -10.7 -2.3 -7.9
  Feb 17, 2022 330   Northern Arizona W 68-67 79%     7 - 15 7 - 9 -12.0 -13.1 +1.0
  Feb 24, 2022 170   Weber St. W 81-75 42%     8 - 15 8 - 9 +3.5 +3.6 -0.3
  Feb 26, 2022 327   Idaho St. W 73-69 OT 78%     9 - 15 9 - 9 -8.8 -8.5 -0.3
  Mar 03, 2022 321   @ Idaho W 79-68 62%     10 - 15 10 - 9 +3.1 -7.7 +9.7
  Mar 05, 2022 219   @ Eastern Washington L 75-83 35%     10 - 16 10 - 10 -8.6 -4.4 -3.8
  Mar 09, 2022 327   Idaho St. W 66-52 72%     11 - 16 +3.5 -12.4 +15.8
  Mar 10, 2022 167   Southern Utah W 77-65 33%     12 - 16 +12.0 -0.2 +11.9
  Mar 11, 2022 211   Northern Colorado L 79-86 42%     12 - 17 -9.5 -11.1 +2.6
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%