Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#239
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#237
Pace74.2#44
Improvement-1.5#234

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#317
First Shot-5.2#317
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#189
Layup/Dunks-3.0#299
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#282
Freethrows-0.6#236
Improvement-2.6#300

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#134
First Shot+1.5#125
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#209
Layups/Dunks-0.6#209
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#69
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#23
Freethrows-3.7#349
Improvement+1.1#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 02 - 2
Quad 31 - 53 - 7
Quad 412 - 715 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 119   @ Louisville L 60-72 18%     0 - 1 -6.6 -13.1 +7.3
  Nov 13, 2021 96   @ Tulane W 73-70 13%     1 - 1 +10.9 -1.6 +12.4
  Nov 16, 2021 207   @ Rice L 63-81 34%     1 - 2 -18.0 -19.5 +3.2
  Nov 19, 2021 202   @ South Dakota L 68-71 33%     1 - 3 -2.7 -8.2 +5.6
  Nov 21, 2021 116   @ Nebraska L 59-82 18%     1 - 4 -17.6 -17.7 +2.4
  Nov 28, 2021 278   @ Tennessee St. W 82-80 51%     2 - 4 -2.4 +2.5 -5.0
  Dec 04, 2021 128   @ Akron L 62-79 20%     2 - 5 -12.3 -9.9 -2.3
  Dec 07, 2021 3   @ Kentucky L 64-76 2%     2 - 6 +9.0 +2.2 +6.2
  Dec 11, 2021 286   SE Louisiana W 72-66 70%     3 - 6 -3.7 -11.2 +7.3
  Dec 19, 2021 135   @ Kent St. W 78-76 21%     4 - 6 +6.3 +9.1 -2.8
  Dec 21, 2021 63   @ Dayton L 60-69 9%     4 - 7 +2.0 -3.7 +5.3
  Jan 03, 2022 209   Texas Southern W 63-50 51%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +8.4 -5.8 +14.9
  Jan 08, 2022 314   @ Florida A&M W 80-66 63%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +6.4 +1.5 +4.4
  Jan 10, 2022 343   @ Bethune-Cookman W 69-59 72%     7 - 7 3 - 0 -0.3 -7.3 +7.1
  Jan 15, 2022 318   @ Grambling St. L 77-83 63%     7 - 8 3 - 1 -13.8 +7.1 -21.2
  Jan 22, 2022 354   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 99-51 91%     8 - 8 4 - 1 +29.2 -3.4 +24.6
  Jan 24, 2022 356   Mississippi Valley W 100-72 92%     9 - 8 5 - 1 +8.2 +6.5 -1.1
  Jan 29, 2022 283   @ Alcorn St. L 64-68 54%     9 - 9 5 - 2 -9.2 -7.4 -2.0
  Jan 31, 2022 292   @ Jackson St. W 75-64 56%     10 - 9 6 - 2 +5.3 +7.2 -1.2
  Feb 05, 2022 332   Alabama A&M W 73-64 80%     11 - 9 7 - 2 -4.1 -6.5 +1.7
  Feb 07, 2022 333   Alabama St. W 72-58 80%     12 - 9 8 - 2 +0.9 -10.1 +10.6
  Feb 12, 2022 300   @ Prairie View L 77-84 57%     12 - 10 8 - 3 -13.0 -8.6 -3.4
  Feb 14, 2022 209   @ Texas Southern W 70-58 35%     13 - 10 9 - 3 +11.8 +3.8 +8.6
  Feb 19, 2022 318   Grambling St. L 57-61 78%     13 - 11 9 - 4 -16.2 -19.2 +3.0
  Feb 26, 2022 343   Bethune-Cookman L 84-87 OT 84%     13 - 12 9 - 5 -17.7 -2.8 -14.6
  Feb 28, 2022 314   Florida A&M W 58-51 77%     14 - 12 10 - 5 -5.1 -14.1 +9.8
  Mar 03, 2022 333   @ Alabama St. L 67-77 67%     14 - 13 10 - 6 -18.7 -16.4 -1.4
  Mar 05, 2022 332   @ Alabama A&M W 50-49 67%     15 - 13 11 - 6 -7.6 -19.5 +11.9
  Mar 10, 2022 318   Grambling St. L 58-60 71%     15 - 14 -12.0 -12.8 +0.7
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%