Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#124
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#151
Pace58.9#351
Improvement+3.0#74

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#179
First Shot+1.4#137
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#290
Layup/Dunks+2.2#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#314
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#124
Freethrows+0.1#158
Improvement+0.0#189

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#104
First Shot+2.7#89
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#159
Layups/Dunks-1.5#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#8
Freethrows-0.2#205
Improvement+3.0#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 61 - 10
Quad 34 - 35 - 13
Quad 410 - 215 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 317   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-69 84%     0 - 1 -10.8 -13.2 +2.5
  Nov 12, 2021 296   Austin Peay W 73-55 89%     1 - 1 +7.8 +6.5 +3.6
  Nov 19, 2021 57   Colorado W 67-63 27%     2 - 1 +13.4 +10.7 +3.3
  Nov 21, 2021 253   Northeastern L 47-59 78%     2 - 2 -17.1 -23.7 +5.8
  Nov 22, 2021 43   Creighton L 64-66 23%     2 - 3 +8.5 +9.7 -1.5
  Nov 26, 2021 283   Alcorn St. W 62-59 88%     3 - 3 -6.6 -2.6 -3.4
  Dec 01, 2021 302   @ Evansville W 54-52 81%     4 - 3 1 - 0 -4.3 -0.8 -2.8
  Dec 04, 2021 335   Southern Miss W 66-41 93%     5 - 3 +11.4 -3.0 +18.5
  Dec 11, 2021 154   @ Tulsa L 65-69 50%     5 - 4 -1.0 +1.9 -3.4
  Dec 15, 2021 245   Southeast Missouri St. W 80-55 82%     6 - 4 +18.1 +8.9 +11.6
  Dec 22, 2021 21   @ San Francisco L 52-64 13%     6 - 5 +3.0 -9.1 +11.4
  Dec 28, 2021 318   Grambling St. W 75-64 91%     7 - 5 -1.2 -3.5 +2.0
  Jan 08, 2022 185   @ Valparaiso W 63-60 57%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +4.2 +0.4 +4.3
  Jan 12, 2022 75   @ Missouri St. L 76-81 24%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +5.1 +10.3 -5.5
  Jan 15, 2022 95   Northern Iowa L 68-69 47%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +2.5 +2.6 -0.2
  Jan 17, 2022 87   Drake L 59-60 45%     8 - 8 2 - 3 +3.2 -3.9 +6.9
  Jan 19, 2022 223   Indiana St. W 63-55 78%     9 - 8 3 - 3 +2.7 -2.8 +6.5
  Jan 22, 2022 98   @ Bradley L 62-70 32%     9 - 9 3 - 4 -0.3 +2.0 -3.3
  Jan 25, 2022 31   @ Loyola Chicago L 47-59 15%     9 - 10 3 - 5 +1.8 -10.2 +10.1
  Jan 27, 2022 31   Loyola Chicago L 39-44 26%     9 - 11 3 - 6 +4.4 -18.7 +22.0
  Jan 30, 2022 185   Valparaiso W 77-55 72%     10 - 11 4 - 6 +18.8 +8.9 +11.9
  Feb 02, 2022 75   Missouri St. L 54-69 39%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -9.3 -12.3 +1.2
  Feb 05, 2022 178   @ Illinois St. W 75-69 55%     11 - 12 5 - 7 +7.6 +3.1 +4.7
  Feb 09, 2022 95   @ Northern Iowa L 44-53 31%     11 - 13 5 - 8 -1.1 -22.7 +20.8
  Feb 12, 2022 302   Evansville W 69-62 89%     12 - 13 6 - 8 -3.7 -1.4 -1.7
  Feb 15, 2022 98   Bradley W 65-57 48%     13 - 13 7 - 8 +11.3 -2.3 +14.0
  Feb 19, 2022 223   @ Indiana St. W 76-72 64%     14 - 13 8 - 8 +3.2 +10.7 -7.2
  Feb 23, 2022 178   Illinois St. W 90-69 71%     15 - 13 9 - 8 +18.2 +22.0 -2.0
  Feb 26, 2022 87   @ Drake L 60-62 29%     15 - 14 9 - 9 +6.6 +3.6 +2.6
  Mar 04, 2022 87   Drake L 52-65 37%     15 - 15 -6.6 -10.6 +2.2
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%